Stock Analysis

Formula One Group's (NASDAQ:FWON.K) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

NasdaqGS:FWON.K
Source: Shutterstock

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Entertainment industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, Formula One Group (NASDAQ:FWON.K) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 6.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Formula One Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:FWON.K Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 17th 2024

How Formula One Group Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Formula One Group has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Formula One Group.

How Is Formula One Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

Formula One Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 103% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.5% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Formula One Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've concluded that Formula One Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Formula One Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.