Kumba Iron Ore Limited

OTCPK:KUMB.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.0b

Kumba Iron Ore Valuation

Is KUMB.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KUMB.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$20.25
Fair Value
1.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: KUMB.F ($19.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($20.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KUMB.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KUMB.F?

Key metric: As KUMB.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KUMB.F. This is calculated by dividing KUMB.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KUMB.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.5x
EarningsR20.23b
Market CapR110.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KUMB.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KUMB.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.9x
CMC Commercial Metals
42.4x44.4%US$5.8b
X United States Steel
23x42.1%US$8.7b
TX Ternium
73.8x51.4%US$6.0b
SIM Grupo Simec. de
8.6xn/aUS$3.8b
KUMB.F Kumba Iron Ore
5.5x-5.5%US$110.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KUMB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (36.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KUMB.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.8xn/aUS$7.45m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
KUMB.F 5.5xIndustry Avg. 21.0xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KUMB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KUMB.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KUMB.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KUMB.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KUMB.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$20.29
0%
15.7%US$26.44US$15.75n/a9
Feb ’26US$19.90
US$20.37
+2.4%
15.5%US$26.31US$15.67n/a9
Jan ’26n/a
US$20.38
0%
16.1%US$26.91US$16.02n/a9
Dec ’25n/a
US$20.80
0%
15.1%US$26.98US$16.07n/a9
Nov ’25n/a
US$21.67
0%
12.7%US$27.58US$18.69n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
US$22.91
0%
11.4%US$28.01US$18.98n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
US$23.43
0%
8.4%US$27.32US$20.75n/a9
Aug ’25n/a
US$23.53
0%
11.5%US$29.55US$20.25n/a10
Jul ’25US$24.05
US$24.59
+2.3%
10.1%US$29.39US$21.23n/a9
Jun ’25n/a
US$24.42
0%
9.0%US$28.75US$21.83n/a9
May ’25n/a
US$24.78
0%
9.9%US$28.69US$21.79n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
US$24.47
0%
15.9%US$31.21US$18.02n/a9
Mar ’25n/a
US$23.07
0%
17.8%US$30.08US$17.38n/a9
Feb ’25n/a
US$23.86
0%
16.9%US$30.98US$18.96US$19.909
Jan ’25n/a
US$23.02
0%
13.4%US$28.62US$19.35n/a9
Dec ’24n/a
US$24.20
0%
15.8%US$31.32US$19.20n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
US$22.78
0%
15.6%US$30.03US$18.40n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
US$22.20
0%
18.8%US$30.37US$15.96n/a10
Sep ’24n/a
US$21.81
0%
18.8%US$30.55US$16.05n/a10
Aug ’24n/a
US$23.29
0%
18.9%US$32.43US$17.61n/a10
Jul ’24n/a
US$22.86
0%
19.4%US$30.84US$16.74US$24.059
Jun ’24US$22.78
US$21.62
-5.1%
19.5%US$29.08US$16.30n/a9
May ’24n/a
US$22.29
0%
17.4%US$27.63US$17.69n/a7
Apr ’24n/a
US$21.87
0%
16.3%US$28.16US$18.22n/a7
Mar ’24n/a
US$22.11
0%
15.6%US$27.70US$17.38n/a7
Feb ’24n/a
US$24.55
0%
17.2%US$30.40US$18.71n/a7
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
US$21.63
Fair Value
8.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/12 11:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/28 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Kumba Iron Ore Limited is covered by 29 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mpumelelo MthembuAbsa Bank Limited
Wade NapierAvior Capital Markets
Caroline LearmonthBarclays