Allied Gold Corporation

OTCPK:AAUC.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$809.4m

Allied Gold Valuation

Is AAUC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AAUC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AAUC.F ($2.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($51.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AAUC.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAUC.F?

Key metric: As AAUC.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AAUC.F. This is calculated by dividing AAUC.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AAUC.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesUS$739.21m
Market CapUS$809.42m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AAUC.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AAUC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
DRD DRDGOLD
2.4x11.0%US$834.8m
MUX McEwen Mining
2.2x18.4%US$443.5m
CMCL Caledonia Mining
1.2x1.8%US$206.2m
CDE Coeur Mining
2.6x17.0%US$2.6b
AAUC.F Allied Gold
1.1x24.9%US$1.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AAUC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AAUC.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.56b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.1%US$6.15b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.80b
AAUC.F 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies25PS0246810+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AAUC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AAUC.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AAUC.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio3.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AAUC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AAUC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.47
US$5.34
+116.1%
15.0%US$6.51US$4.21n/a7
Nov ’25US$2.70
US$5.65
+109.6%
16.1%US$6.70US$4.28n/a7
Oct ’25US$2.49
US$6.32
+153.8%
13.2%US$8.00US$5.23n/a7
Sep ’25US$2.30
US$6.18
+168.8%
10.1%US$7.13US$5.18n/a7
Aug ’25US$2.46
US$6.18
+151.4%
10.8%US$7.16US$5.14n/a7
Jul ’25US$1.95
US$6.08
+211.6%
10.9%US$7.16US$4.93n/a7
Jun ’25US$2.31
US$5.86
+153.9%
8.7%US$6.72US$4.93n/a7
May ’25US$2.70
US$5.81
+115.3%
7.2%US$6.43US$5.04n/a7
Apr ’25US$2.62
US$5.70
+117.6%
7.4%US$6.50US$5.08n/a7
Mar ’25US$2.12
US$5.75
+171.1%
7.7%US$6.59US$5.11n/a7
Feb ’25US$2.51
US$6.00
+138.8%
4.2%US$6.51US$5.58n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
US$5.92
0%
5.4%US$6.51US$5.35n/a7
Dec ’24US$2.85
US$5.90
+107.3%
6.1%US$6.51US$5.30n/a6
Nov ’24n/a
US$5.92
0%
5.2%US$6.21US$5.46US$2.704
Oct ’24n/a
US$6.04
0%
2.9%US$6.29US$5.91US$2.493

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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