DRDGOLD Valuation

Is DRD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DRD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DRD ($9.69) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DRD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DRD?

Key metric: As DRD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DRD. This is calculated by dividing DRD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DRD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsR1.33b
Market CapR15.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DRD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DRD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
MUX McEwen Mining
4.3x-106.9%US$443.5m
BVN Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA
8.3x-1.6%US$3.1b
CMCL Caledonia Mining
22.2x93.0%US$206.2m
FTCO Fortitude Gold
61.9xn/aUS$131.7m
DRD DRDGOLD
11.4xn/aUS$834.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DRD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DRD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.5xn/aUS$5.00m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
DRD 11.4xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DRD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DRD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DRD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DRD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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