What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Chase (NYSEMKT:CCF), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Chase is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = US$45m ÷ (US$347m - US$23m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2020).
Thus, Chase has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Chemicals industry average of 8.1% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for Chase
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Chase's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Chase, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 20% over the last five years. However it looks like Chase might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Chase's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 195% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Chase could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.
While Chase isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About NYSEAM:CCF
Chase
Chase Corporation, a specialty chemicals company, engages in the manufacture and sale of protective materials for various applications in North America, Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.