Revenues Working Against Ternium S.A.'s (NYSE:TX) Share Price

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Ternium S.A. (NYSE:TX) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Metals and Mining companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.2x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Ternium

What Does Ternium's Recent Performance Look Like?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Ternium's and the industry's retreating revenue lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to deteriorate further, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Ternium's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ternium would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.7% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 93% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.2% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 533% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ternium's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Ternium's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Ternium's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Ternium is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.