The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

NYSE:SMG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.4b

Scotts Miracle-Gro Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

Scotts Miracle-Gro's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -18.9%, while the Chemicals industry saw earnings declining at 4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 8.8% per year.

Key information

-18.93%

Earnings growth rate

-19.28%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals Industry Growth12.93%
Revenue growth rate-8.81%
Return on equityn/a
Net Margin5.94%
Next Earnings Update29 Jul 2026

Recent past performance updates

Analysis Article May 14

Scotts Miracle-Gro's (NYSE:SMG) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ) recently. We...
Analysis Article Nov 12

Why Scotts Miracle-Gro's (NYSE:SMG) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Shareholders appeared to be happy with The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's ( NYSE:SMG ) solid earnings report last week...

Recent updates

Analysis Article May 14

Scotts Miracle-Gro's (NYSE:SMG) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ) recently. We...
Seeking Alpha Apr 13

Scotts Miracle-Gro: Sowing The Seeds Of Future Growth

Summary Scotts Miracle-Gro remains a 'buy' as operational turnaround and balance sheet improvements drive resilience amid macro uncertainty. SMG's quasi-discretionary lawn and garden demand is expected to withstand higher oil prices, with minimal trade-down risk due to its higher-income customer base. Retailer inventory management is pushing revenue into Q2, exaggerating seasonality but not impacting full-year expectations or guidance. Leverage is declining toward 3.7-3.8x, dividend yield is secure at 4%, and medium-term margin risk from input costs is manageable until 2027. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Mar 19

SMG: Reaffirmed Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Underappreciated Growth Profile

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their average price target on Scotts Miracle-Gro by about $5 to the mid $70s, citing refreshed sector targets, recent meetings, and a view that the company’s growth profile remains underappreciated. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for Scotts Miracle-Gro, with bullish analysts recalibrating their models following fiscal Q1 earnings and upcoming investor meetings.
Narrative Update Mar 05

SMG: Reaffirmed Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Underappreciated Earnings Certainty

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Scotts Miracle-Gro has increased by $4 to $75.50. This change reflects analysts' updated models, which incorporate revised sector targets and what they identify as an underappreciated growth profile following recent research meetings and commentary.
Narrative Update Feb 15

SMG: Updated Margins And Capital Returns Will Support Measured Future Upside

Analysts have increased their price target on Scotts Miracle-Gro by $1, reflecting recent research that incorporates updated assumptions for the discount rate, margin profile, and forward P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher price target as aligned with updated discount rate assumptions, suggesting that, under their models, the risk profile now supports a slightly higher equity value.
Narrative Update Feb 01

SMG: Margin Expansion And Debt Reduction Will Support Future Share Outperformance

Narrative Update on Scotts Miracle-Gro The analyst price target for Scotts Miracle-Gro has been adjusted slightly higher to US$74. Analysts point to expectations for a balance between volume and pricing, gross margin expansion, debt reduction, and a potential return to buybacks as key supports for their updated view.
Analysis Article Jan 20

Shareholders May Be More Conservative With The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's (NYSE:SMG) CEO Compensation For Now

Key Insights Scotts Miracle-Gro's Annual General Meeting to take place on 26th of January Total pay for CEO Jim...
Narrative Update Jan 12

SMG: Debt Reduction And Margin Expansion Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Scotts Miracle-Gro to $74, up from $71, citing expectations for a healthier balance between volume and pricing, strong gross margin expansion, debt reduction, and the potential return of share buybacks into 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher US$74 price target as reflecting confidence that a mix of volume and pricing can support the current valuation over the next year.
Analysis Article Nov 12

Why Scotts Miracle-Gro's (NYSE:SMG) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Shareholders appeared to be happy with The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's ( NYSE:SMG ) solid earnings report last week...
Narrative Update Sep 27

Digital Transformation And Organic Trends Will Fuel Future Expansion

The consensus price target for Scotts Miracle-Gro has declined to $73.71, primarily due to ongoing uncertainty and margin pressure from the delayed Hawthorne segment separation, outweighing improved EPS/revenue tracking and management's stable outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite management's reiterated guidance and a "fairly normal" outlook for the 2025 lawn and garden season, despite prior quarterly misses.
Analysis Article Sep 15

Slowing Rates Of Return At Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) Leave Little Room For Excitement

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd...
Analysis Article Aug 22

Should You Investigate The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG) At US$61.24?

While The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant...
Analysis Article Jul 06

A Look At The Fair Value Of The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Scotts Miracle-Gro is US$72.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Analysis Article Jun 14

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's (NYSE:SMG) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

There wouldn't be many who think The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's ( NYSE:SMG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is...
Analysis Article May 24

Slowing Rates Of Return At Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) Leave Little Room For Excitement

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
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New Narrative May 04

Multi-Bag Strategy And New Products Will Drive Efficiency

Transitioning to a multi-bag strategy and new product introductions are expected to drive revenue and improve gross margins in the consumer segment.
Analysis Article Apr 25

Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.66

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's ( NYSE:SMG ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.66 per share on 6th of June...
Analysis Article Mar 30

At US$54.76, Is It Time To Put The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG) On Your Watch List?

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Analysis Article Feb 22

Subdued Growth No Barrier To The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's (NYSE:SMG) Price

There wouldn't be many who think The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's ( NYSE:SMG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is...
Seeking Alpha Feb 02

Scotts Miracle-Gro: Stabilizing Revenue And Margin Expansion Drive Optimism

Summary Scotts Miracle-Gro shows stabilizing revenue, robust margin expansion, and strategic initiatives for long-term growth, making it an appealing investment opportunity. Management focuses on debt reduction, cost savings, and expanding demographic reach, particularly within the Hispanic market, positioning SMG for sustainable growth. The planned spin-off of Hawthorne Gardening simplifies the business, enhancing valuation clarity and focusing on core lawn and garden segments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Feb 01

Scotts Miracle-Gro's (NYSE:SMG) Dividend Will Be $0.66

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.66 per share on the 7th of...
Analysis Article Jan 15

Calculating The Fair Value Of The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Scotts Miracle-Gro fair value estimate is US$74.47 With...
Analysis Article Dec 28

When Should You Buy The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE:SMG)?

While The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...
Seeking Alpha Nov 20

Scotts Miracle-Gro: Mixed Execution And Limited Future Debt Reduction Cap Upside (Downgrade)

Summary Scotts Miracle-Gro's stock has been volatile, with a 34% rally over the past year but a 70% drop from its all-time high. Q4 results showed mixed performance: US consumer sales rose by 54%, while Hawthorne sales fell significantly due to market oversupply. The 2025 outlook is disappointing, with only 2% top-line growth expected and ongoing challenges in the Hawthorne segment. Despite efforts to improve margins and reduce debt, SMG's free cash flow and leverage targets suggest limited upside, making it an unattractive investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Nov 09

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a sad week for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ), who've watched their investment drop 19% to...
Analysis Article Nov 08

Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.66

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's ( NYSE:SMG ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.66 per share on 6th of...
Analysis Article Sep 08

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's (NYSE:SMG) Shares

It's not a stretch to say that The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's ( NYSE:SMG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x...
Analysis Article Aug 21

Capital Allocation Trends At Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) Aren't Ideal

To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications...
Analysis Article Aug 03

Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.66

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company ( NYSE:SMG ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.66 per share on the 6th of...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Scotts Miracle-Gro makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:SMG Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
28 Mar 263,4712066170
27 Dec 253,4011645933
30 Sep 253,4131456030
28 Jun 253,359605620
29 Mar 253,37343580-17
28 Dec 243,509-20562-2
30 Sep 243,553-355590
29 Jun 243,513-259595-26
30 Mar 243,429-348536-1
30 Dec 233,435-3965420
30 Sep 233,551-3805510
01 Jul 233,671-13250036
01 Apr 233,738-61950438
31 Dec 223,885-45251542
30 Sep 223,924-4376130
02 Jul 224,168-26657649
02 Apr 224,59240859870
01 Jan 224,74244266448
30 Sep 214,92551666945
03 Jul 215,07856971344
03 Apr 214,96054379421
02 Jan 214,51448270650
30 Sep 204,13238668740
27 Jun 203,73932764128
28 Mar 203,41730158619
28 Dec 193,2244486050
30 Sep 193,15643752940
29 Jun 193,09236256412
30 Mar 192,91730949143
29 Dec 182,7406549333
30 Sep 182,6631285400
30 Jun 182,60621646542
31 Mar 182,58523548040
30 Dec 172,65623649140
30 Sep 172,64219848940
01 Jul 172,338213488-5
01 Apr 172,359196515-21
31 Dec 162,519268509-2
30 Sep 162,50624746836
02 Jul 162,80923252746
02 Apr 162,92622253246
02 Jan 162,75313452046
30 Sep 152,3711304890
27 Jun 152,80716554745

Quality Earnings: SMG has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: SMG's current net profit margins (5.9%) are higher than last year (1.2%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SMG's earnings have declined by 18.9% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: SMG's earnings growth over the past year (389.5%) exceeds its 5-year average (-18.9% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: SMG earnings growth over the past year (389.5%) exceeded the Chemicals industry 0.1%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: SMG's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/07 09:55
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2026/03/28
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is covered by 17 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexander MarocciaBerenberg
Constance ManeatyBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Christopher CareyBofA Global Research