Stepan (SCL) Is Up 5.1% After Strong Earnings Outlook and Low Valuation Spark Investor Interest

Simply Wall St
  • Stepan Company has recently attracted attention due to its lower price-to-earnings ratio compared to industry peers and an expected 32% increase in earnings next year, which has prompted a significant market response prior to October 3, 2025.
  • This combination of favorable valuation and strong earnings growth outlook has led investors to reconsider the company's business prospects and potential for future returns.
  • We'll examine how the prospect of a 32% earnings increase could reshape Stepan's investment narrative and medium-term outlook.

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Stepan Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Stepan shareholder, you need to believe in the company’s ability to turn its attractive valuation and projected 32% earnings growth into real financial improvements while navigating near-term economic pressures. Although the recent positive earnings outlook has sparked strong interest, it does not materially change the biggest short-term catalyst, the Pasadena, Texas site expansion reaching full contribution, or the largest risk, which remains margin pressure from external cost inflation and working capital needs. The production capacity expansion announced in June 2025, which increased Alpha Olefin Sulfonates output by 25%, is directly relevant as it supports potential volume and margin growth, complementing the expected earnings surge. This step is particularly important with raw material cost management continuing to challenge profit margins across Stepan's core segments. However, with ongoing concerns about margin compression driven by rising input costs, investors should not overlook...

Read the full narrative on Stepan (it's free!)

Stepan's narrative projects $2.6 billion revenue and $146.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.3% yearly revenue growth and a $89.9 million earnings increase from $56.2 million currently.

Uncover how Stepan's forecasts yield a $82.21 fair value, a 68% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

SCL Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community for Stepan stock range widely from US$32 to US$82.21. With the Pasadena plant’s contribution pending, the company’s outlook remains tied closely to execution and cost control, making divergent investor views especially timely for review.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Stepan - why the stock might be worth 34% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Stepan Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Stepan might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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