Stock Analysis

Here's Why Orion Engineered Carbons (NYSE:OEC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NYSE:OEC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. (NYSE:OEC) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Orion Engineered Carbons

How Much Debt Does Orion Engineered Carbons Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Orion Engineered Carbons had US$782.9m of debt, up from US$738.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$83.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$699.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:OEC Debt to Equity History May 4th 2022

A Look At Orion Engineered Carbons' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Orion Engineered Carbons had liabilities of US$448.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$862.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$83.2m as well as receivables valued at US$325.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$902.3m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$978.4m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Orion Engineered Carbons' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Orion Engineered Carbons's debt is 2.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.5 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Pleasingly, Orion Engineered Carbons is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 106% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Orion Engineered Carbons's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Orion Engineered Carbons actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Neither Orion Engineered Carbons's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Orion Engineered Carbons's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Orion Engineered Carbons you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.