Stock Analysis

Here's Why Nucor (NYSE:NUE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:NUE
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Nucor Corporation (NYSE:NUE) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Nucor

What Is Nucor's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nucor had US$6.84b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$7.13b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$288.6m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:NUE Debt to Equity History February 13th 2024

How Strong Is Nucor's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nucor had liabilities of US$4.59b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$8.62b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$7.13b and US$2.95b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.13b.

Of course, Nucor has a titanic market capitalization of US$45.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Nucor also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that Nucor's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 40% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nucor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Nucor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Nucor recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Nucor has US$288.6m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 68% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$4.9b. So we don't have any problem with Nucor's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Nucor (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nucor is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.