Stock Analysis

Ingevity (NYSE:NGVT) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

NYSE:NGVT
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Ingevity (NYSE:NGVT) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Ingevity, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.17 = US$318m ÷ (US$2.5b - US$552m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

Thus, Ingevity has an ROCE of 17%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 12% generated by the Chemicals industry.

View our latest analysis for Ingevity

roce
NYSE:NGVT Return on Capital Employed June 5th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Ingevity compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Ingevity here for free.

What Can We Tell From Ingevity's ROCE Trend?

In terms of Ingevity's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 22% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

The Bottom Line On Ingevity's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Ingevity. In light of this, the stock has only gained 21% over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.

Like most companies, Ingevity does come with some risks, and we've found 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.