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Nexa Resources S.A.NYSE:NEXA Stock Report

Market Cap US$1.8b
Share Price
n/a
1Y196.2%
7D13.6%
1D10.0%
Portfolio Value
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Nexa Resources S.A.

NYSE:NEXA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

NEXA Community Fair Values

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Nexa Resources S.A. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Nexa Resources
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$14.81
52 Week HighUS$16.89
52 Week LowUS$4.61
Beta0.92
1 Month Change22.30%
3 Month Change24.98%
1 Year Change196.20%
3 Year Change221.96%
5 Year Change86.52%
Change since IPO-17.95%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Jul 10

NEXA: Mining Recovery And Silver Streaming Shift Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst price target for Nexa Resources has moved from $9.89 to $16.00, as analysts point to updated models that incorporate mining recovery and revised commodity forecasts across precious and base metals. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nexa Resources highlights a mix of caution and improving confidence, with several bullish analysts revising their models and adjusting price targets after incorporating updated commodity assumptions and the company’s mining recovery.
Narrative Update Jun 26

NEXA: Mining Recovery And Smelter Restart Will Shape Execution Risks

The analyst fair value estimate for Nexa Resources has moved from $7.03 to about $12.31, with analysts linking the higher price target to updated models that factor in the company’s reported mining recovery and recent rating and target changes from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nexa Resources centers on updated models following the latest Q1 report, with several firms revising fair value estimates to reflect the company’s reported mining recovery and new rating actions.
Seeking Alpha Jun 16

Nexa Resources: Upcycle Still Here, Buy On Mine Improvement

Summary Nexa Resources (NEXA) is rated a buy, benefiting from tight zinc supply, robust demand, and a vertically integrated mine-smelter model. NEXA's Q1 EBITDA margin reached 32%, driven by higher zinc/silver prices and operational improvements at Cerro Lindo and Aripuana. Silver streaming at Cerro Lindo has stepped down, unlocking ~$100M/year in additional cash flow starting Q2, while Aripuana ramps up production. NEXA trades at a discounted 4.5x forward PE and 1.6x PB, with net leverage reduced to 1.6x, supporting further upside through at least early 2027. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jul 10

NEXA: Mining Recovery And Silver Streaming Shift Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst price target for Nexa Resources has moved from $9.89 to $16.00, as analysts point to updated models that incorporate mining recovery and revised commodity forecasts across precious and base metals. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nexa Resources highlights a mix of caution and improving confidence, with several bullish analysts revising their models and adjusting price targets after incorporating updated commodity assumptions and the company’s mining recovery.
Narrative Update Jun 26

NEXA: Mining Recovery And Smelter Restart Will Shape Execution Risks

The analyst fair value estimate for Nexa Resources has moved from $7.03 to about $12.31, with analysts linking the higher price target to updated models that factor in the company’s reported mining recovery and recent rating and target changes from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nexa Resources centers on updated models following the latest Q1 report, with several firms revising fair value estimates to reflect the company’s reported mining recovery and new rating actions.
Seeking Alpha Jun 16

Nexa Resources: Upcycle Still Here, Buy On Mine Improvement

Summary Nexa Resources (NEXA) is rated a buy, benefiting from tight zinc supply, robust demand, and a vertically integrated mine-smelter model. NEXA's Q1 EBITDA margin reached 32%, driven by higher zinc/silver prices and operational improvements at Cerro Lindo and Aripuana. Silver streaming at Cerro Lindo has stepped down, unlocking ~$100M/year in additional cash flow starting Q2, while Aripuana ramps up production. NEXA trades at a discounted 4.5x forward PE and 1.6x PB, with net leverage reduced to 1.6x, supporting further upside through at least early 2027. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative Apr 17

Nexa; an integrated base-metals platform with real cash-flow torque?

Rating: Speculative Buy / Deep-Value Metals PlayStyle: Cyclical mining and smelting with zinc leverage and balance-sheet repair Core debate: Is Nexa just a cheap Latin American zinc name trapped in a volatile commodity cycle, or is it an underappreciated integrated base-metals platform with real cash-flow torque, diversified by-products, and upside if zinc fundamentals tighten further? Executive view Nexa is one of the cheaper ways to gain exposure to zinc and related base metals, but the investment case is stronger than a simple commodity beta trade.
Analysis Article Dec 04

Nexa Resources S.A.'s (NYSE:NEXA) Shares Bounce 28% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Nexa Resources S.A. ( NYSE:NEXA ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone...
Analysis Article May 27

Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a...
Analysis Article Mar 19

Here's Why Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Feb 26

Nexa Resources S.A.'s (NYSE:NEXA) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Nexa Resources S.A.'s ( NYSE:NEXA ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now...
Analysis Article Feb 05

Nexa Resources' (NYSE:NEXA) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
Analysis Article Dec 10

Is Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Oct 02

Nexa Resources S.A. (NYSE:NEXA) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 26%

Nexa Resources S.A. ( NYSE:NEXA ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the...
Analysis Article Aug 31

These Return Metrics Don't Make Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Look Too Strong

What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? Businesses in decline often...
Analysis Article Jul 19

Is Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Using Debt Sensibly?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Jan 20

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Nexa Resources S.A.'s (NYSE:NEXA) Low P/S

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x Nexa Resources S.A. ( NYSE:NEXA ) may be sending bullish signals at the...
Analysis Article Dec 15

Does Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Seeking Alpha Aug 21

Nexa Resources: Things To Consider Before Jumping On The Bandwagon

Summary Depressed zinc prices have hurt NEXA's revenues during Q2 2023, and may continue to impact revenue growth in the near term. Cost optimization is the key to improve bottom-line profitability, and Aripuana's ramp-up to full scale can significantly help in this area. Forecasts for 2023 and 2024 reveal declining YoY revenues and EPS, implying limited room for near-term share price growth. NEXA has regularly paid dividends during the last 5 years, however, I believe the dividends may take a cut going forward. It may appear that NEXA is trading cheaply based on certain valuation metrics, however, I see this as an indicator of a low-growth stock at least in the near term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 27

Does Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha Feb 15

Nexa Resources reports Q4 2022 results

Nexa Resources press release (NYSE:NEXA): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.04. Revenue of $780M (+15.0% Y/Y). Zinc production of 75kt in Q4 decreased by 8% compared to Q4 2021. Metal sales were 167kt in Q4, up by 6% and 3% from Q4 2021 and Q3 2022, respectively. Sees zinc production of 307-351kt in 2023, 318-379kt in 2024 and 327-383kt in 2025. 2023 capex guidance of $310M.
Analysis Article Dec 17

Nexa Resources S.A. (NYSE:NEXA) Shares Could Be 25% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Nexa Resources' estimated fair value is US$5.4 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Seeking Alpha Nov 08

Nexa Resources: Be Prepared For More Downside Potential

Summary The macroeconomic environment does not look favorable for metals. Investors should consider changing their stance from buy to hold for US-listed zinc stocks, including Nexa Resources S.A. Lower metal production and prices combined with a strong US dollar could negatively impact cash flow and delay expansion projects. The Macroeconomic Environment is Not Developing Favorably for Metals As the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates amid persistently high inflation, fears of a recession are growing among investors. If the hawkish stance convinces consumers to rein in their spending, a recession is inevitable. A recession would weigh on many markets, with base metals leading the way. A slowdown in consumption that triggers a recession affects demand for base metals as these commodities are used to manufacture a wide range of products. A decline in the demand for these commodities will put downward pressure on prices. Analysts predict that within a year zinc will fall 11% from its current $2,905.50 a ton, copper will fall 7% from its current $3.64 a pound, and lead will fall 9% from its current $2,005.55 per ton. Gold and silver are also forecast lower a year from now, with the yellow metal down 4% from the current $1,677.72 an ounce and the gray metal down more than 8% from the current $20,720 an ounce. Not the Time for a Bullish Approach to US-Listed Metal Miners As such, investors should reconsider their holdings in US-traded metal mining stocks given the macroeconomic picture that is gradually unfolding for the value of their production. Among those stocks that investors should consider changing their stance from buy to hold is Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA). In addition to expectations of lower commodity prices, some underperforming mining operations are contributing to the current downside risk to Nexa Resources S.A. stock. Nexa Resources S.A. Based in Luxembourg, Nexa Resources produces zinc (main production) and other base and precious metals (secondary production) from five underground mineral deposits located in South America as follows: 3 Productions are in the Peruvian Central Andes: Cerro Lindo, El Porvenir and Atacocha Cerro Lindo is an underground polymetallic mine in the Peruvian province of Chincha (about 270 km southeast of Lima). It has been mining base metals such as zinc, copper, lead, and silver since 2007. Cerro Lindo is one of the world's largest zinc producers. Nexa Resources owns and operates the mine through its subsidiary in Peru. Currently, Cerro Lindo has reserves that are estimated to be able to support mining activities until at least 2029. As of late 2021 estimates, the Cerro Lindo mineral deposit contained 44.04 million tons of proven and probable mineral reserves grading 1.43% zinc, 0.2% lead, 0.62% copper, and 22.3 grams of silver per tonne of ore (g /t). In the first 9 months of 2022, Cerro Lindo sold 66,000 tons of zinc, down almost 17% year-on-year. This was mainly the result of an 18% year-over-year decline in zinc output to 77,600 tons. Looking ahead to the full year 2022, Cerro Lindo is expected to produce between 81,000 and 86,000 tons of zinc, between 26,000 and 33,000 tons of copper, between 11,000 and 12,000 tons of lead, and between 3.9 million and 4.1 million ounces of silver. Compared to 2021, zinc production will be 16-21% lower, copper production will be 11-12% lower, lead production will be 6.3-14% lower and silver production will be 2.6-7.3% lower. These declines in metal production are expected as miners are currently dealing with reduced ore throughput that is delivered at the processing plant, while the concentration of the metal in the ore is also currently trending unfavorably. This situation, coupled with anticipated lower metal prices, should not allow the company to increase the profitability of its operations. This could impact the stock price as the stock market doesn't welcome lower sales and lower profit margins. Margins could also shrink if lower production means higher costs. El Porvenir is an underground polymetallic mine owned and operated by Nexa Resources S.A., through its subsidiary in Peru. El Porvenir is located in the central Andean region of Peru, more precisely in the Peruvian province of Pasco, about 13 km from the city of Cerro de Pasco. The miner currently produces zinc as the main product and lead, copper, and precious metals such as gold and silver as by-products. The mine has been in operation since 1949 and is expected to produce metals over the next few years through 2028. As of December 31, 2021, El Porvenir hosted 15.32 million tons of minerals in Proven and Probable Reserves grading 3.57% zinc, 1.04% lead, 0.2% copper, and 69.5 g/t silver. In the first 9 months of 2022, El Porvenir sold 39,900 tons of zinc, a slight increase of 5% over the previous year. Lower zinc sales may have been impacted by the company's decision to focus mining activities in certain areas of the mine deposit in order to exploit a higher concentration of lead and especially silver in the mineral. As for the expected production of the metals for 2022, these should not be very exciting for the market as they foresee the following deviations from 2021 levels. Zinc production should fluctuate between -4.7% and +3% to 49,000 to 53,000 tons, copper production should fall 0.4% to 300 tons, lead production should fluctuate between -15.3% and +1.7% to 15,000 to 18,000 tons, while silver production should fluctuate between -11.4% and +2.9% to 3.1 million to 3.6 million ounces. This expected production combined with a lower price for the metal will certainly not help El Porvenir increase the profitability of the mine. Atacocha is a polymetallic mine where metals are extracted using underground and open-pit mining techniques. The mine is owned by Nexa Resources S.A. and is operated by its Peruvian subsidiary. The mineral asset is located in the Peruvian province of Pasco. The mine has been producing zinc, copper, lead, silver, and gold since 1939 and has a mine life of 3 years to 2025. The Atacocha open pit deposit contained 3.28 million tons of Measured Mineral Reserves grading 1.1% zinc, 0.81% lead, 28.9 g/t silver, and 0.21 g/t gold as of late 2021. The Atacocha underground deposit contained 3.28 million tons of Measured Mineral Reserves grading 1.1% zinc, 1.98% lead, and 101.1 g/t silver as of late 2021. In the first 9 months of 2022, Atacocha sold 6,700 tons of zinc, a 37.6% increase over the previous year. However, Atacocha currently accounts for less than 3% of the company's total sales of zinc. Zinc production was 8,500 tons in 2021 and is expected to be 8,500 to 9,400 tons in 2022. Lead production was 8,700 tons in 2021 and is expected to range between 10,000 and 11,000 tons in 2022. Silver production was one million ounces in 2021 and is expected to be 1-1.1 million ounces in 2022. However, Atacocha is a good contributor to gold production as its production accounts for between 45% and 50% of the company's total production. However, for this to translate into a benefit to corporate profitability, the price of gold must trade higher, and analysts instead expect it to fall in the coming period, as outlined above. 2 Productions are in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais: Vazante and Morro Agudo Vazante is a mineral deposit for the production of zinc, lead, and silver through underground techniques. The mineral occurrence is located very close to the municipality of Vazante in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais. The mine is owned by Nexa Resources S.A. and is operated by its Brazilian subsidiary. The mine began mining the metals in 1969 and based on the company's mineral resource data below, operations will continue for many years to 2032. As of December 31, 2021, Vazante hosted 15.91 million tons of minerals in proven and probable reserves grading 8.77% zinc, 0.22% lead, and 13.7 g/t silver. In the first 9 months of 2022, Vazante sold 97,900 tons of zinc, a 6.7% decline over the previous year. Vazante is currently experiencing a downward trend in mining performance in terms of both treated throughput and average grade. Additionally, there could be some disruption to mine activity in the coming months due to some maintenance work already planned. Thus, metal production is expected for this year at least to be lower than 2021 levels. The reductions will be dramatic: -16% to -9.6% to 118,000 to 127,000 tonnes of zinc; -37.5% to -25% to 1,000 to 1,200 tonnes of lead and -40% to -20% to 300,000 to 400,000 ounces of silver expected in 2022. Morro Agudo is an underground and open pit zinc, lead, and silver mineral deposit 100% owned by Nexa and operated through its Brazilian subsidiary, located in Minas Gerais State, Brazil. It is actually a mining complex as it also includes 3 other mineral deposits forming The Ambrosia Trend. This is located no more than 20 km from the municipality of Paracatu in the state of Minas Gerais. The Morro Agudo has been a metal production site since 1988 and it is estimated that it will remain so at least until 2028. On a measured and indicated basis, the mineral resources of Morro Agudo are estimated at the end of 2021 to be 13.92 million tonnes of ore grading 3.39% zinc and 0.59% lead. In the first 9 months of 2022, Morro Agudo sold 14,100 tonnes of zinc, an increase of almost 12% over the previous year. Morro Agudo is the only zinc mine that is performing well thanks to several initiatives implemented over the past year. Now, in addition to more flexible management of mining activities, it allows for higher underground production. However, Morro Agudo accounts for less than 7% of the company's total production and produces no precious metals. Morro Agudo is projected to produce between 16,000 and 19,000 tonnes of zinc in 2022 versus 17,300 tonnes in 2021 and between 4,300 and 4,800 tonnes of lead in 2022 versus 4,700 tonnes in 2021. A Risk of Delay in the Construction of the Third Mine in Brazil Overall lower metal production and prices coupled with a likely continued strengthening of the US dollar against local currencies could negatively impact cash flow, which was $282.3 million for the 12 months ended Q3 2022. If this happens, it could potentially cause the company to reassess its capital allocation strategy, which would pose a risk to the timing of the project to construct the Aripuanã multi-metal manufacturing facility in Mato Grosso state, Central-West region of Brazil. The company anticipates that commercial production activities for zinc and other metals should begin before the end of 2022. Should the start-up of the new mine be delayed, negative effects on the share price cannot be ruled out. Aripuanã will absorb approximately 80% of the total $75 million that Nexa Resources S.A. intends to provide for expansion projects in 2022. For non-expansion projects, the company will spend approximately $310 million. In addition to cash flow from operations, the company had approximately $538 million in cash on hand and short-term investments as of September 30, 2022.
Seeking Alpha Oct 28

Nexa Resources reports Q3 mixed earnings; reaffirms FY22 capex guidance

Nexa Resources press release (NYSE:NEXA): Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.37 misses by $0.48. Revenue of $703M (+7.3% Y/Y) beats by $58.56M. Adjusted EBITDA in 3Q22 decreased to $103M, compared with $155M in 3Q21 and $286M in 2Q22. Net debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio for the last twelve months increased to 1.52x compared with 1.33x at the end of June 2022 and 1.23x a year ago. 2022 CAPEX guidance remains unchanged at $385M.
Seeking Alpha Sep 14

Nexa Resources appoints José Carlos del Valle as finance chief

Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) said Wednesday it appointed José Carlos del Valle as SVP of finance and group CFO, effective Oct. 3. He most recently served as CFO at Compañía Minera Antamina. del Valle replaces Claudia Torres, who served as interim CFO.
Analysis Article Aug 24

Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...

Shareholder Returns

NEXAUS Metals and MiningUS Market
7D13.6%-0.6%0.7%
1Y196.2%49.5%20.6%

Return vs Industry: NEXA exceeded the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 48.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NEXA exceeded the US Market which returned 19.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NEXA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NEXA volatility
NEXA Average Weekly Movement12.7%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement9.4%
Market Average Movement7.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: NEXA's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: NEXA's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1956n/aJuan Ignacio Rosado de La Torrewww.nexaresources.com

Nexa Resources S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the zinc mining and smelting business worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Mining and Smelting. It produces metallic zinc, zamac, gold, sulfuric acid and zinc oxide, as well as by-products, such as sulfuric acid, silver concentrate, copper cement, copper sulfate, lead concentrate, lead-silver concentrate, and other metallurgical by-products.

Nexa Resources S.A. Fundamentals Summary

How do Nexa Resources's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NEXA fundamental statistics
Market capUS$1.78b
Earnings (TTM)US$210.08m
Revenue (TTM)US$3.26b
9.3x
P/E Ratio
0.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NEXA income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$3.26b
Cost of RevenueUS$2.41b
Gross ProfitUS$848.69m
Other ExpensesUS$638.61m
EarningsUS$210.08m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Aug 05, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)1.59
Gross Margin26.01%
Net Profit Margin6.44%
Debt/Equity Ratio122.1%

How did NEXA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.9%
Current Dividend Yield
n/a
Payout Ratio

Does NEXA pay a reliable dividends?

See NEXA dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy NEXA by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Nexa Resources dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateJul 28 2026
Dividend Pay DateAug 11 2026
Days until Ex dividend16 days
Days until Dividend pay date30 days

Does NEXA pay a reliable dividends?

See NEXA dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/10 23:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nexa Resources S.A. is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Matthew MurphyBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Lawson WinderBofA Global Research