Nexa Resources S.A.

NYSE:NEXA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

Nexa Resources Valuation

Is NEXA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NEXA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NEXA ($7.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($19.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NEXA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NEXA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NEXA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NEXA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NEXA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.6x
GSM Ferroglobe
0.5x5.1%US$851.1m
CMP Compass Minerals International
0.4x2.2%US$503.4m
MTRN Materion
1.3x7.1%US$2.2b
MP MP Materials
16x37.7%US$2.9b
NEXA Nexa Resources
0.4x2.9%US$1.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NEXA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (4.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NEXA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.3%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.3%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NEXA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NEXA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NEXA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NEXA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NEXA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.28
US$7.86
+7.9%
13.9%US$10.00US$6.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$7.53
US$7.86
+4.3%
13.9%US$10.00US$6.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$6.00
US$7.86
+31.0%
13.9%US$10.00US$6.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$7.26
US$8.19
+12.8%
11.8%US$10.00US$7.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$7.68
US$8.06
+5.0%
14.4%US$10.00US$7.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$7.85
US$7.63
-2.9%
12.2%US$10.00US$7.00n/a8
May ’25US$7.39
US$7.25
-1.9%
7.7%US$8.00US$6.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$7.10
US$6.73
-5.3%
17.1%US$8.00US$4.50n/a8
Mar ’25US$6.98
US$6.41
-8.1%
18.4%US$8.00US$4.50n/a8
Feb ’25US$7.17
US$6.36
-11.3%
20.6%US$8.25US$4.50n/a9
Jan ’25US$7.14
US$6.33
-11.4%
20.9%US$8.25US$4.50n/a10
Dec ’24US$5.88
US$6.28
+6.7%
20.8%US$8.25US$4.50n/a10
Nov ’24US$5.73
US$6.23
+8.6%
21.9%US$8.25US$4.50n/a10
Oct ’24US$6.05
US$6.38
+5.4%
20.7%US$8.25US$4.50US$7.5310
Sep ’24US$6.39
US$6.15
-3.8%
23.4%US$8.25US$4.20US$6.0010
Aug ’24US$4.94
US$6.15
+24.4%
23.9%US$8.25US$4.20US$7.2610
Jul ’24US$4.86
US$6.30
+29.6%
21.3%US$8.25US$4.50US$7.6810
Jun ’24US$4.96
US$7.31
+47.4%
15.4%US$9.00US$5.25US$7.8510
May ’24US$5.75
US$7.34
+27.6%
14.7%US$9.00US$5.50US$7.3910
Apr ’24US$6.28
US$8.19
+30.3%
26.8%US$12.00US$5.00US$7.1010
Mar ’24US$6.16
US$7.76
+25.9%
23.0%US$12.00US$4.80US$6.9810
Feb ’24US$7.08
US$7.70
+8.8%
27.8%US$12.00US$4.80US$7.179
Jan ’24US$6.03
US$7.31
+21.2%
30.7%US$12.00US$4.80US$7.149
Dec ’23US$5.39
US$7.21
+33.8%
29.2%US$12.00US$4.80US$5.889
Nov ’23US$4.79
US$7.40
+54.5%
31.0%US$13.00US$5.00US$5.739
Oct ’23US$5.16
US$8.47
+64.2%
32.6%US$13.12US$5.00US$6.0510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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