Ferroglobe PLC

NasdaqCM:GSM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$721.5m

Ferroglobe Valuation

Is GSM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GSM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GSM ($3.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($12.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GSM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GSM?

Key metric: As GSM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GSM. This is calculated by dividing GSM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GSM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.5x
EarningsUS$40.55m
Market CapUS$721.48m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GSM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GSM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average69.8x
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group
200.8xn/aUS$343.6m
MTRN Materion
28x27.4%US$2.1b
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources
20.9x30.3%US$140.4m
RYI Ryerson Holding
29.3xn/aUS$663.1m
GSM Ferroglobe
17.5x49.4%US$721.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GSM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (69.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GSM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.5xn/aUS$4.66m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
PTEE.F Plaintree Systems
1.4xn/aUS$891.84k
GSM 17.5xIndustry Avg. 15.5xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GSM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GSM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GSM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio30.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GSM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GSM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.78
US$9.00
+138.1%
22.2%US$11.00US$7.00n/a2
Dec ’25US$4.36
US$9.00
+106.4%
22.2%US$11.00US$7.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$4.21
US$9.00
+113.8%
22.2%US$11.00US$7.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$4.96
US$9.00
+81.5%
22.2%US$11.00US$7.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$4.42
US$9.00
+103.6%
22.2%US$11.00US$7.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$5.16
US$10.00
+93.8%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$5.49
US$10.00
+82.1%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$5.95
US$10.00
+68.1%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2
May ’25US$5.21
US$10.00
+91.9%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$4.76
US$10.00
+110.1%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$4.55
US$10.00
+119.8%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$5.08
US$10.00
+96.9%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$6.51
US$11.50
+76.7%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$6.12
US$11.50
+87.9%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00US$4.362
Nov ’24US$4.45
US$11.50
+158.4%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00US$4.212
Oct ’24US$5.20
US$11.50
+121.2%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00US$4.962
Sep ’24US$5.39
US$11.50
+113.4%
4.3%US$12.00US$11.00US$4.422
Aug ’24US$5.39
US$12.50
+131.9%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$5.162
Jul ’24US$4.77
US$12.50
+162.1%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$5.492
Jun ’24US$4.49
US$12.50
+178.4%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$5.952
May ’24US$4.09
US$12.50
+205.6%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$5.212
Apr ’24US$4.94
US$12.50
+153.0%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$4.762
Mar ’24US$5.29
US$12.50
+136.3%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$4.552
Feb ’24US$4.70
US$12.00
+155.3%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$5.082
Jan ’24US$3.85
US$12.00
+211.7%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$6.512
Dec ’23US$4.60
US$12.00
+160.9%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$6.122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 23:37
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ferroglobe PLC is covered by 6 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Garrett NelsonBB&T Capital Markets
Lucas PipesB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Martin EnglertJefferies LLC