Stock Analysis

Is Nexa Resources (NEXA) Using Namibian License Sales to Sharpen Its Capital Discipline?

  • Nexa Resources S.A. recently completed the sale of ten Exclusive Prospecting Licenses in Namibia, transferring all related rights to Midnab Resources as part of its Otavi and Namibia North projects.
  • This divestment marks a further step in Nexa’s portfolio optimization, signaling a clearer focus on capital discipline and return-generating assets.
  • We’ll now examine how this portfolio optimization effort, centered on exiting Namibian exploration licenses, shapes Nexa’s broader investment narrative.

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What Is Nexa Resources' Investment Narrative?

For Nexa, the big-picture belief is that a lowly valued, cyclical metals producer can steadily move from losses toward more consistent profitability, with improving capital discipline along the way. The Namibia license sale fits that story, but it is a relatively small, portfolio-tidying move rather than a change in the core thesis, which still hinges on zinc and by-product prices, execution at its key mines and smelters, and tight cost control after several loss-making years. In the short term, catalysts remain operational delivery against 2025 production guidance, progress on free cash flow to support the new dividend policy, and any signs that earnings volatility is easing. The main risks stay familiar: commodity price swings, operational disruptions like the Cerro Pasco protests, and the challenge of turning forecast profit growth into reality.

However, one operational risk in particular is worth looking at more closely. Nexa Resources' shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 29%. Find out what it's worth.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NEXA 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NEXA 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Three Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Nexa span from US$4.40 to about US$12.43, showing how far apart private investors can be. Set against Nexa’s focus on capital discipline and ongoing operational risk, it is a reminder to weigh multiple viewpoints before deciding how this stock fits into your portfolio.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Nexa Resources - why the stock might be worth as much as 41% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Nexa Resources Narrative

Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Nexa Resources research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Nexa Resources research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Nexa Resources' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:NEXA

Nexa Resources

Engages in the zinc mining and smelting business worldwide.

Undervalued with moderate growth potential.

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