Stock Analysis

Newmont (NYSE:NEM) Will Pay A Dividend Of US$0.55

NYSE:NEM
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Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) will pay a dividend of US$0.55 on the 16th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 3.0%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

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Newmont Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 175% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 72%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 149.1%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 101%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.

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NYSE:NEM Historic Dividend May 9th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from US$1.20 to US$2.20. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.2% over that duration. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Newmont has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 42% per annum. Although earnings per share is up nicely Newmont is paying out 175% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

Our Thoughts On Newmont's Dividend

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 4 warning signs for Newmont that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Newmont might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.