Intrepid Potash Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of IPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

IPI ($26.46) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($51.21)

Is IPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IPI ($26.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($51.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IPI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IPI?

Key metric: As IPI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for IPI. This is calculated by dividing IPI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is IPI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	1.6x
Sales	US$206.36m
Market Cap	US$332.75m

IPI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does IPI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for IPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.7x
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions	0.9x	9.6%	US$399.7m
AVD American Vanguard	0.3x	4.8%	US$182.8m
UAN CVR Partners	1.4x	n/a	US$753.5m
MULG Muliang Viagoo Technology	4.1x	n/a	US$49.1m
IPI Intrepid Potash	1.6x	3.9%	US$332.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: IPI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does IPI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

10 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
TSE Trinseo	0.03x	5.0%	US$117.53m
ALTO Alto Ingredients	0.1x	3.1%	US$106.54m
BON Bon Natural Life	0.2x	n/a	US$5.36m
ABLT American Biltrite	0.02x	n/a	US$2.91m

10 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: IPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IPI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IPI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.6x
Fair PS Ratio	0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: IPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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