We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

American Vanguard Valuation

Is AVD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AVD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AVD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.6x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AVD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

AVD PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for AVD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
IPI Intrepid Potash
2xn/aUS$553.5m
UAN CVR Partners
4.5xn/aUS$1.4b
FMC FMC
18.5x10.6%US$14.1b
MOS Mosaic
5.4x-32.7%US$17.7b
AVD American Vanguard
23.8x22.3%US$645.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AVD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (14.3x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AVD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AVD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AVD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AVD ($20.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($65.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AVD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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