| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
GPK Stock Overview
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies.
Rewards
Risk Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$18.69 |
| 52 Week High | US$21.56 |
| 52 Week Low | US$15.36 |
| Beta | 1.19 |
| 1 Month Change | 0.76% |
| 3 Month Change | -9.49% |
| 1 Year Change | 8.54% |
| 3 Year Change | 53.57% |
| 5 Year Change | 49.52% |
| Change since IPO | 355.85% |
Recent News & Updates
Here's What's Concerning About Graphic Packaging Holding's (NYSE:GPK) Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
Should You Investigate Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE:GPK) At US$18.67?
Graphic Packaging Holding Company ( NYSE:GPK ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of...
Graphic Packaging: Much Ado About Nothing For Three Years
Packing names including GPK plunged on Verso's acquisition by Billerud of Sweden. A conversion of Verso's coated paper capacity to paperboard wouldn't happen for late 2024 at the earliest. Market pricing in a large capacity increase and commensurate severe pricing pressure without considering underlying market increases or potential pricing discipline by Billerud. GPK can generate $8+ of free cash in the meantime.
Graphic Packaging Holding (NYSE:GPK) Will Pay A Dividend Of US$0.075
Graphic Packaging Holding Company ( NYSE:GPK ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of US$0.075 per share on the...
Shareholder Returns
| GPK | US Packaging | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -4.1% | -3.7% | -6.1% |
| 1Y | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% |
Return vs Industry: GPK exceeded the US Packaging industry which returned 4.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GPK exceeded the US Market which returned 6.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GPK volatility | |
|---|---|
| GPK Average Weekly Movement | 3.7% |
| Packaging Industry Average Movement | 3.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.7% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.4% |
Stable Share Price: GPK is less volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.
Volatility Over Time: GPK's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 18,775 | Mike Doss | https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. It operates through three segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. The company offers coated unbleached kraft (CUK), coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and solid bleached sulfate paperboard (SBS) to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers; and paperboard packaging products, such as folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers primarily to consumer packaged goods, quick-service restaurants, and foodservice companies; and barrier packaging products that protect against moisture, hot and cold temperature, grease, oil, oxygen, sunlight, insects, and other potential product-damaging factors.
Graphic Packaging Holding Fundamentals Summary
| GPK fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | US$5.74b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$229.30m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$6.82b |
25.0x
P/E Ratio0.8x
P/S RatioIs GPK overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GPK income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$6.82b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$5.76b |
| Gross Profit | US$1.06b |
| Expenses | US$834.90m |
| Earnings | US$229.30m |
Last Reported Earnings
Sep 30, 2021
Next Earnings Date
Feb 17, 2022
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.75 |
| Gross Margin | 15.60% |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.36% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 216.8% |
How did GPK perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.6%
Current Dividend Yield38%
Payout RatioValuation
Is Graphic Packaging Holding undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
>50%
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: GPK ($18.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($58.03)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GPK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: GPK is poor value based on its PE Ratio (25x) compared to the US Packaging industry average (22x).
PE vs Market: GPK is poor value based on its PE Ratio (25x) compared to the US market (16.7x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: GPK is good value based on its PEG Ratio (1x)
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: GPK's PB Ratio (3.1x) is in line with the US Packaging industry average.
Future Growth
How is Graphic Packaging Holding forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 14 analysts?
26.3%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GPK's forecast earnings growth (26.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: GPK's earnings (26.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: GPK's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GPK's revenue (8.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: GPK's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.5%)
Past Performance
How has Graphic Packaging Holding performed over the past 5 years?
-5.3%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: GPK has a large one-off loss of $111.3M impacting its September 30 2021 financial results.
Growing Profit Margin: GPK's current net profit margins (3.4%) are higher than last year (2.1%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: GPK's earnings have declined by 5.3% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: GPK's earnings growth over the past year (68.6%) exceeds its 5-year average (-5.3% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: GPK earnings growth over the past year (68.6%) exceeded the Packaging industry 48.8%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: GPK's Return on Equity (13.7%) is considered low.
Financial Health
How is Graphic Packaging Holding's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: GPK's short term assets ($2.0B) exceed its short term liabilities ($1.5B).
Long Term Liabilities: GPK's short term assets ($2.0B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($4.9B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: GPK's net debt to equity ratio (213.2%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: GPK's debt to equity ratio has increased from 202.3% to 216.8% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: GPK's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (22.3%).
Interest Coverage: GPK's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (4.7x coverage).
Balance Sheet
Dividend
What is Graphic Packaging Holding current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
1.60%
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: GPK's dividend (1.61%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.36%).
High Dividend: GPK's dividend (1.61%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.55%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Whilst dividend payments have been stable, GPK has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.
Growing Dividend: GPK's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 7 years.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (37.6%), GPK's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: GPK's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be thoroughly covered by earnings (13.9% payout ratio).
Next Steps
Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
6.0yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
Mike Doss (55 yo)
6yrs
Tenure
US$8,009,101
Compensation
Mr. Michael P. Doss, also known as Mike, has been the Chief Executive Officer of Graphic Packaging Holding Company since January 1, 2016 and serves as its Director since May 20, 2015. He serves as Presiden...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Mike's total compensation ($USD8.01M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD6.45M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Mike's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: GPK's management team is seasoned and experienced (6 years average tenure).
Board Members
Experienced Board: GPK's board of directors are considered experienced (7 years average tenure).
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 13.4%.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
Graphic Packaging Holding Company's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: Graphic Packaging Holding Company
- Ticker: GPK
- Exchange: NYSE
- Founded: 2007
- Industry: Paper Packaging
- Sector: Materials
- Implied Market Cap: US$5.740b
- Shares outstanding: 307.10m
- Website: https://www.graphicpkg.com
Number of Employees
Location
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company
- 1500 Riveredge Parkway
- Suite 100
- Atlanta
- Georgia
- 30328
- United States
Listings
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2022/01/21 23:34 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2022/01/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2021/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2020/12/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.