Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) Reports Q1 Net Loss Of US$495 Million

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Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) recently reported a challenging first quarter, with sales declining from $5,199 million to $4,629 million and a widened net loss of $495 million, compared to $67 million in the prior year. Despite these tough results, the company's share price rose by 4% over the past month. This upward move occurred amidst broader market fluctuations, with expectations for tariff talks between the U.S. and China shaping investor sentiment. While Cleveland-Cliffs' financial struggles would typically weigh on stock performance, the overall optimistic market outlook may have provided some positive influence.

We've identified 2 possible red flags with Cleveland-Cliffs (at least 1 which is concerning) and understanding the impact should be part of your investment process.

NYSE:CLF Earnings Per Share Growth as at May 2025

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The recent news on Cleveland-Cliffs suggests potential positive influences on its longer-term narrative, such as expected tariff benefits and the Stelco acquisition, which could enhance its competitive stance in the steel industry. Despite quarterly financial challenges, these developments might drive future revenue and earnings growth by boosting domestic demand for steel products. However, high interest rates and trade distortions remain significant risks, possibly affecting financial stability. It's crucial to consider how these elements align with the company's existing revenue and earnings forecasts, which are anticipated to improve through 2028.

Over a five-year span, Cleveland-Cliffs has achieved a total shareholder return of 74.82%, signifying significant long-term value creation. This performance starkly contrasts with its recent one-year underperformance compared to the US Metals and Mining industry, which saw a 4.8% decline. Such historical performance underscores the stock's volatility and highlights the impact of broader market conditions and company-specific developments.

The recent rise in Cleveland-Cliffs' share price, notwithstanding unfavorable quarterly results, suggests market optimism potentially driven by tariff expectations. With the shares trading at US$8.61, this price is a discount compared to the consensus price target of US$10.91, indicating upside potential of approximately 21.1% according to analysts. Investors should assess whether current and projected business dynamics align with these forecasts, particularly in light of forecasted revenue growth and projected earnings improvements.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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