Has Coeur Mining’s Expansion News Sparked a New Opportunity After Its 161% Rally in 2025?

• Wondering if Coeur Mining is truly a value play or just getting swept up in market excitement? You are not alone in asking if now is the time to look closer at this stock.
• After soaring 161.1% year to date but dipping by 11.3% over the past month, the stock's journey has been anything but quiet.
• Recent headlines have spotlighted Coeur Mining’s expansion into new mining projects and securing key financing deals. These moves have shaped investor expectations for future growth and help explain the volatility and the renewed interest from both long-term holders and opportunistic traders.
• When it comes to valuation, Coeur Mining scores a 4 out of 6 on our value checks, suggesting the stock may have more to offer. Next, we will break down what drives that number using common valuation methods, but keep reading. There is an even more insightful approach that could change how you see the company’s potential.

Coeur Mining delivered 150.6% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Metals and Mining industry.

Approach 1: Coeur Mining Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company’s true value by projecting its future cash flows and bringing those values back to today using a discount rate. This helps investors gauge what the business might be worth based on the cash it could generate over time, rather than short-term market sentiment.

Coeur Mining’s current Free Cash Flow sits at $175 million, reflecting the company’s ability to generate cash from operations. Analyst projections cover the next five years and see Free Cash Flow potentially reaching over $1.1 billion by 2029. Beyond this period, further growth estimates are extrapolated, but still display continued momentum in cash generation, based on Simply Wall St’s methodology.

Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model, the resulting estimated intrinsic value of Coeur Mining comes in at $30.54 per share. Compared to the current trading price, this suggests the stock is trading at a notable 47.0% discount to its fair value. In this approach, the shares appear significantly undervalued.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Coeur Mining is undervalued by 47.0%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 923 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.

Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Coeur Mining.

Approach 2: Coeur Mining Price vs Earnings (P/E)

The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is widely used for valuing profitable companies. It shows how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. This makes it a practical measure for companies with consistent profits and helps investors judge whether the market price aligns with earnings potential.

What counts as a "fair" P/E can vary depending on how quickly a company is expected to grow and how risky its business is relative to others. Fast-growing or lower-risk companies typically command higher P/E multiples, while slower or riskier firms tend to trade at lower ratios.

Currently, Coeur Mining trades at a P/E ratio of 25x. This is slightly above the Metals and Mining industry average of 22x and also higher than the 22x peer average. However, the proprietary "Fair Ratio" model developed by Simply Wall St estimates Coeur Mining’s fair P/E should be about 26x, taking into account its growth prospects, profit margins, business risks, industry positioning, and market capitalization.

Unlike a plain industry or peer comparison, the Fair Ratio reflects a more nuanced approach. It adjusts for factors such as expected earnings growth and risk specific to Coeur Mining, making it a stronger guide for determining fair value in today’s dynamic market.

Since the actual P/E ratio of 25x is nearly identical to the Fair Ratio of 26x, this suggests the stock’s current pricing is in line with its fundamentals.

Result: ABOUT RIGHT

PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1439 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.

Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Coeur Mining Narrative

Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is your personal, data-driven story about Coeur Mining, combining your assumptions for its future revenue, earnings, and margins with your view on what the company is really worth. Instead of just looking at numbers, Narratives tie together a company's unique business context and expected newsflow with your financial forecasts and ultimately a fair value estimate.

Narratives are easy to build and share on Simply Wall St’s Community page, used by millions of investors. This tool makes investing more transparent by allowing you to compare your view of fair value against the latest market price. You can quickly see if you would buy, hold, or sell based on your own research. As new information like earnings reports or major news comes in, Narratives update automatically so your perspective stays current without any extra effort from you.

For example, some investors currently estimate a bull case fair value for Coeur Mining above $20 per share based on ongoing exploration success and margin expansion, while a more cautious view puts the value closer to $12 due to operational and regulatory risks. This highlights how the Narrative tool can reflect the full spectrum of market opinions in real time.

Do you think there's more to the story for Coeur Mining? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com