Cabot (CBT) just made a meaningful leadership move by naming long time insider William Masterson to run its Reinforcement Materials segment after the immediate exit of Matthew Wood, and investors are asking what this means for the stock.
See our latest analysis for Cabot.
The leadership shake up lands at a tricky time for Cabot, with its 90 day share price return of minus 20.34 percent and 1 year total shareholder return of minus 38.59 percent signaling fading momentum despite a much healthier 5 year total shareholder return of 72.30 percent.
If this management change has you rethinking your materials exposure, it could also be worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other compelling ideas with aligned leadership and growth stories.
With shares trading at a noticeable discount to fair value despite only modest revenue growth, the question now is whether Cabot is quietly setting up for a rebound or if the market already reflects its best days ahead.
Price-to-Earnings of 10.5x: Is it justified?
Cabot trades on a 10.5x price-to-earnings multiple at a last close of $64.54, which screens as undervalued relative to both its peers and the wider chemicals sector.
The price-to-earnings ratio compares what investors pay today for each dollar of current earnings. This makes it a useful yardstick for a mature, profitable specialty chemicals business like Cabot. With solid profitability, high quality past earnings and a strong return on equity, a low P/E can indicate the market is not fully crediting the company for its earnings power.
For Cabot, the 10.5x multiple looks conservative when set against its 22.1 percent return on equity and a record of becoming profitable over the past 5 years with rapid earnings growth, even allowing for the recent setback in year on year profits. The combination of a high ROE, reliable dividend and seasoned management suggests investors are paying a relatively low price for each dollar of earnings, which may indicate that expectations are muted if profitability stabilises.
The valuation gap becomes starker in context, with Cabot's 10.5x price-to-earnings ratio sitting at less than half both the US chemicals industry average of 22.8x and the peer average of 32.3x. This underscores how heavily the stock is discounted versus comparable names.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 10.5x (UNDERVALUED)
However, softer revenue growth and leadership turnover in Reinforcement Materials could signal deeper demand or execution issues that justify Cabot's discounted multiple.
Find out about the key risks to this Cabot narrative.
Another Way to Look at Value
Our DCF model also points to Cabot trading below its estimated fair value of $81.84, implying roughly a 21 percent discount to what its future cash flows might support. If both earnings and cash flow signals are indicating a low valuation, is the market overreacting to near term uncertainty, or is it seeing something investors are missing?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Cabot for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 919 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Build Your Own Cabot Narrative
If our view does not fully align with yours, you can quickly dive into the numbers, build a personalized thesis and Do it your way in under three minutes.
A great starting point for your Cabot research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Cabot might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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