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BHP Group LimitedNYSE:BHP Stock Report

Market Cap US$214.7b
Share Price
US$84.72
US$51.29
65.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y71.4%
7D4.1%
Portfolio Value
View

BHP Group Limited

NYSE:BHP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$214.7b

BHP Group (BHP) Stock Overview

Operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. More details

BHP fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends4/6

BHP Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 55 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Top Community Narratives

US$51.29
FV
60.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
21.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
201
users have viewed this narrative
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
19users have followed this narrative
Materials opportunity

BHP Group Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for BHP Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$82.55
52 Week HighAU$85.14
52 Week LowAU$45.74
Beta0.80
1 Month Change12.60%
3 Month Change18.54%
1 Year Change71.37%
3 Year Change43.14%
5 Year Change6.28%
Change since IPO1,435.06%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Feb 27

BHP Group Is A Better Fit For All-Weather Portfolios Than Rio Tinto

Summary My assessment of the commodity cycle has led me to see both BHP Group Limited and Rio Tinto Group as interesting candidates for an All-Weather Portfolio. They both inflation hedging and favorable total return potential amid an anticipated commodity cycle recovery. Between them, BHP is an even better fit to Ray Dalio’s all-weather portfolio than RIO due to its superior margins and stronger balance sheet. Furthermore, BHP’s valuation premium relative to RIO is not as large as P/E ratios suggest on the surface. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Feb 27

BHP Group Is A Better Fit For All-Weather Portfolios Than Rio Tinto

Summary My assessment of the commodity cycle has led me to see both BHP Group Limited and Rio Tinto Group as interesting candidates for an All-Weather Portfolio. They both inflation hedging and favorable total return potential amid an anticipated commodity cycle recovery. Between them, BHP is an even better fit to Ray Dalio’s all-weather portfolio than RIO due to its superior margins and stronger balance sheet. Furthermore, BHP’s valuation premium relative to RIO is not as large as P/E ratios suggest on the surface. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative Mar 06

Narrative update from Stjepan Kalinic

BHP reported operational performance for H1 2025, with iron ore and copper production meeting expectations, while steelmaking coal and nickel faced declines. H1 2025 revenues declined by $2 billion ye
Seeking Alpha Feb 21

BHP Group: Long-Standing Preference For Rio Tinto, Neutral Rating Confirmed

Summary We maintain a neutral rating on BHP Group due to balanced risk-reward, materialized Samarco settlement risks, and preference for Rio Tinto's cheaper valuation and organic growth. BHP's H1 2025 results showed a $2 billion sales decline, an 11% drop in EBITDA, and unchanged production guidance despite strong operational performance and lower unit costs. BHP's net debt is expected to rise to $15 billion, and its dividend payout will be trimmed by 50%. This is due to CAPEX plans and settlement costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 03

BHP Group: Solid Free Cash Flow Supports The Yield, Shares Rightly Priced

Summary BHP Group shares fell 27% in 2024 due to weak iron ore prices, a strong US dollar, and global economic softness. Despite operational strength in copper and coal, BHP's earnings growth is forecasted to be negative, but decent free cash flow supports a 6.0% dividend yield. Key risks include ongoing economic weakness in China, a strong US dollar, and global macroeconomic softness, with technical support levels offering some bullish hope. I maintain a hold rating on BHP, seeing it near fair value with mixed valuation metrics, but the chart is intriguing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative Dec 11

External Factors Could Keep BHP Pinned In Place

A large exposure to the iron-ore market with a muted medium-term outlook leaves BHP vulnerable.
Seeking Alpha Oct 24

BHP Group: Dividend Play With Long-Term Upside

Summary BHP Group is a global mining giant with strong financial performance, offering a 5% dividend yield, making it attractive for income-focused investors. Copper and iron ore are BHP's primary revenue drivers, benefiting from clean energy expansion, AI adoption, and China's economic stimulus measures. Despite challenges in coal and nickel, BHP's profitability remains robust, with copper and iron ore contributing over 95% of earnings. BHP's long-term growth is supported by copper demand, while short-term gains are expected from iron ore due to China's stimulus package. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 14

BHP: Dealing With Subdued Iron Ore Price And Higher Costs

Summary BHP's failed acquisition attempt for Anglo American might just be a positive at a time when the company has to deal with a weak broader environment. Subdued iron ore prices on muted demand from China and strong exports, along with rising labour costs and payments for damages, are expected to affect revenues and profits for FY24. Despite positive market multiples and good dividend yield, BHP's stock price upside remains limited, making it more suitable for dividend investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 31

BHP Group Walked Away From Anglo Deal

Summary BHP Group has made a strategic acquisition attempt of Anglo American's assets, but the offer has been refused three times. BHP Group reported mixed Q3 results, with solid performances in copper and iron ore, but weaker performances in nickel and met coal. BHP Group offers investors a better entry price; however, we maintain a neutral valuation on a twelve-month view. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 20

BHP: Tremendous Value If They Get Anglo American At Current Offer Price

Summary BHP announced its intent to acquire competitor Anglo American to create the world's #1 copper producer in an offer valuing the company's equity at £27/sh. Mainly eyeing the copper assets, BHP intends to divest Anglo's South African businesses Amplats and Kumba, potentially looking to exit diamonds and coal down the line. While the divestment plan has drawn political criticism in South Africa, I estimate BHP could unlock significant value and effectively acquire the remaining Anglo assets at just 4x EBITDA. I see Anglo's fair value at £31.4/sh based on a SOTP valuation (~14% above BHP's revised offer) with an upside scenario indicating potential for up to £41/sh (~50% above offer). I view the deal as highly favorable for BHP in both financial and strategic terms, significantly increasing its copper exposure as well as adding nickel and manganese, materials crucial for the energy transition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 20

BHP: Improvements Visible, But Downside Possible Too

Summary BHP's price continues to weaken, but pockets of upside are emerging even as some risks sustain. The company's financial performance has improved, supported by an uptick in iron ore and copper prices. The full year FY24 also promises to be an improvement over the past year. The stock's forward P/E also look attractive compared with its past average and the materials sector. It also has a healthy dividend yield. However, declining iron ore prices YTD, risks of the lagged impact of inflation on its profits and more attractive peers like Rio Tinto and Vale work against it. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 01

BHP Group Should Be Added By Investors Seeking Income And An Attractive Total Return

Summary BHP reported slightly lower EPS for the first half of $1.296 compared to $1.303 the prior year after adjusting for exceptions. EBITDA increased to $13.875 billion from $13.230 billion. Many Australian BHP shareholders effectively receive a 7.07% dividend yield because of franking compared to 4.99% for U.S. BHP ADR holders. I recently bought BHP and sold some NUE stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 12

BHP Group: Ready For A Second Wave Of Inflation?

Summary BHP Group is viewed as a dividend play with a strong balance sheet and potential for capital upside. BHP stock may be nearing an important low and could be ready to move higher. Price levels are determined using a scientific and mathematical methodology based on the structure of price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 28

BHP Group: Better Commodity Outlook But Still Pricey

Summary The company continues to divest its lower-quality assets. Our internal team is more optimistic about iron ore prices backed by the decarbonization agenda, China's new stimulus, and more steel-intensive countries. Despite that, BHP's valuation looks full on an FCF level and an EV/EBITDA multiple basis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

BHPUS Metals and MiningUS Market
7D4.1%6.0%2.1%
1Y71.4%93.9%30.6%

Return vs Industry: BHP underperformed the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 95.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: BHP exceeded the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is BHP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BHP volatility
BHP Average Weekly Movement5.4%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement10.2%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: BHP has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: BHP's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
185140,009Mike Henrywww.bhp.com

BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It also engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal.

BHP Group Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do BHP Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
BHP fundamental statistics
Market capUS$214.69b
Earnings (TTM)US$10.24b
Revenue (TTM)US$53.99b
21.0x
P/E Ratio
4.0x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
BHP income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$53.99b
Cost of RevenueUS$9.13b
Gross ProfitUS$44.86b
Other ExpensesUS$34.61b
EarningsUS$10.24b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Aug 17, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)2.02
Gross Margin83.09%
Net Profit Margin18.97%
Debt/Equity Ratio46.3%

How did BHP perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.1%
Current Dividend Yield
66%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 10:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BHP Group Limited is covered by 60 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets
Amos FletcherBarclays