BHP Group Limited

NYSE:BHP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$142.1b

BHP Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

BHP Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.03% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 4.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.1% in 3 years.

Key information

4.7%

Earnings growth rate

3.76%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth16.9%
Revenue growth rate-0.03%
Future return on equity18.07%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 Nov 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

BHP: Record Production, Strong Margins, And A Disciplined Path To Future Minerals

Sep 27
User avatar

Narrative update from Stjepan Kalinic

BHP reported operational performance for H1 2025, with iron ore and copper production meeting expectations, while steelmaking coal and nickel faced declines. H1 2025 revenues declined by $2 billion ye

BHP Group: Long-Standing Preference For Rio Tinto, Neutral Rating Confirmed

Feb 21

BHP Group: Solid Free Cash Flow Supports The Yield, Shares Rightly Priced

Jan 03
User avatar

External Factors Could Keep BHP Pinned In Place

A large exposure to the iron-ore market with a muted medium-term outlook leaves BHP vulnerable.

BHP Group: Dividend Play With Long-Term Upside

Oct 24

BHP: Dealing With Subdued Iron Ore Price And Higher Costs

Jul 14

BHP Group Walked Away From Anglo Deal

May 31

BHP: Tremendous Value If They Get Anglo American At Current Offer Price

May 20

BHP: Improvements Visible, But Downside Possible Too

Apr 20

BHP Group Should Be Added By Investors Seeking Income And An Attractive Total Return

Apr 01

BHP Group: Ready For A Second Wave Of Inflation?

Mar 12

BHP Group: Better Commodity Outlook But Still Pricey

Dec 28

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:BHP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202851,09611,1929,82318,70516
6/30/202750,10810,8988,52518,19319
6/30/202651,76611,3418,41817,97019
6/30/202551,2629,0198,89818,692N/A
3/31/202552,43210,2039,63119,395N/A
12/31/202453,60211,38610,36420,098N/A
9/30/202454,6309,64210,87820,382N/A
6/30/202455,6587,89711,39220,665N/A
3/31/202455,3627,64411,70420,740N/A
12/31/202355,0657,39112,01520,815N/A
9/30/202354,44110,15611,81719,758N/A
6/30/202353,81712,92111,61818,701N/A
3/31/202356,87815,57615,51322,184N/A
12/31/202260,56418,23119,40725,667N/A
9/30/202262,98819,23822,73528,921N/A
6/30/202265,09820,24526,06332,174N/A
3/31/202264,65718,08925,72231,658N/A
12/31/202163,90315,93225,38131,142N/A
9/30/202160,57913,73123,40629,188N/A
6/30/202157,25511,52921,43027,234N/A
3/31/202147,0339,23517,62222,434N/A
12/31/202044,9507,15610,86717,633N/A
9/30/202044,0877,5569,46716,670N/A
6/30/202039,1537,8489,53915,706N/A
3/31/202044,8128,7049,12316,873N/A
12/31/201945,8329,45210,17918,039N/A
9/30/201945,0609,04710,46417,955N/A
6/30/201944,5728,64110,74817,871N/A
3/31/201943,7128,739N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201843,6498,836N/A18,392N/A
9/30/201843,5187,731N/A18,427N/A
6/30/201843,1296,626N/A18,461N/A
3/31/201842,0725,580N/A17,456N/A
12/31/201737,6875,005N/A16,450N/A
9/30/201737,0165,684N/A16,627N/A
6/30/201735,9476,362N/A16,804N/A
3/31/201736,6824,189N/A14,933N/A
12/31/201634,6982,488N/A13,062N/A
9/30/201633,027-1,948N/A11,844N/A
6/30/201629,005-490N/A10,625N/A
3/31/201633,653-6,248N/A12,379N/A
12/31/201535,936-6,111N/A14,133N/A
9/30/201540,527-1,344N/A16,715N/A
6/30/201545,1243,422N/A19,296N/A
12/31/201448,4199,320N/A23,928N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BHP's forecast earnings growth (4.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.3%).

Earnings vs Market: BHP's earnings (4.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BHP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BHP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.03% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BHP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.03% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BHP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.1%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/14 23:00
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/14 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BHP Group Limited is covered by 56 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets
Caroline LearmonthBarclays