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The three-year decline in earnings might be taking its toll on ATI (NYSE:ATI) shareholders as stock falls 7.5% over the past week
It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the ATI Inc. (NYSE:ATI) share price down 12% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been spectacular. The longer term view reveals that the share price is up 479% in that period. As long term investors the recent fall doesn't detract all that much from the longer term story. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.
While the stock has fallen 7.5% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
View our latest analysis for ATI
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
ATI became profitable within the last three years. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We know that ATI has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think ATI will grow revenue in the future.
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that ATI shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 39% over one year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 9% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with ATI (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
What are the risks and opportunities for ATI?
ATI Inc. manufactures and sells specialty materials and components worldwide.
Rewards
Trading at 63.3% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 45.04% per year
Became profitable this year
Risks
Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow
Shareholders have been diluted in the past year
Significant insider selling over the past 3 months
Large one-off items impacting financial results
Further research on
ATI
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:ATI
ATI
ATI Inc. manufactures and sells specialty materials and components worldwide.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.
