Stock Analysis

Here's Why AdvanSix (NYSE:ASIX) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:ASIX
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE:ASIX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for AdvanSix

What Is AdvanSix's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that AdvanSix had US$146.5m of debt in June 2022, down from US$195.0m, one year before. However, it does have US$17.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$129.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ASIX Debt to Equity History October 4th 2022

A Look At AdvanSix's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, AdvanSix had liabilities of US$356.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$407.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$17.3m as well as receivables valued at US$246.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$500.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

AdvanSix has a market capitalization of US$936.8m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

AdvanSix's net debt is only 0.39 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 76.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, AdvanSix grew its EBIT by 100% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AdvanSix's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, AdvanSix recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

AdvanSix's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Zooming out, AdvanSix seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with AdvanSix , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.