Stock Analysis

Arch Resources (NYSE:ARCH) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NYSE:ARCH
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Arch Resources, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Arch Resources

What Is Arch Resources's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Arch Resources had US$140.6m of debt in December 2023, down from US$174.3m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has US$320.5m in cash, leading to a US$179.9m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ARCH Debt to Equity History March 27th 2024

How Healthy Is Arch Resources' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Arch Resources had liabilities of US$368.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$636.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$320.5m as well as receivables valued at US$287.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$397.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Arch Resources has a market capitalization of US$2.94b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Arch Resources boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Arch Resources's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 50% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Arch Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Arch Resources may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Arch Resources recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

Although Arch Resources's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$179.9m. The cherry on top was that in converted 71% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$458m. So we don't have any problem with Arch Resources's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Arch Resources has 5 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Arch Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.