Stock Analysis

Ampco-Pittsburgh (NYSE:AP) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

NYSE:AP
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Ampco-Pittsburgh (NYSE:AP) so let's look a bit deeper.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Ampco-Pittsburgh, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.026 = US$9.9m ÷ (US$515m - US$128m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Ampco-Pittsburgh has an ROCE of 2.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 12%.

View our latest analysis for Ampco-Pittsburgh

roce
NYSE:AP Return on Capital Employed May 22nd 2023

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Ampco-Pittsburgh's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

SWOT Analysis for Ampco-Pittsburgh

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by .
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
Opportunity
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine AP's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.

The Trend Of ROCE

We're delighted to see that Ampco-Pittsburgh is reaping rewards from its investments and has now broken into profitability. The company was generating losses five years ago, but has managed to turn it around and as we saw earlier is now earning 2.6%, which is always encouraging. Interestingly, the capital employed by the business has remained relatively flat, so these higher returns are either from prior investments paying off or increased efficiencies. That being said, while an increase in efficiency is no doubt appealing, it'd be helpful to know if the company does have any investment plans going forward. After all, a company can only become a long term multi-bagger if it continually reinvests in itself at high rates of return.

The Key Takeaway

To bring it all together, Ampco-Pittsburgh has done well to increase the returns it's generating from its capital employed. Astute investors may have an opportunity here because the stock has declined 68% in the last five years. With that in mind, we believe the promising trends warrant this stock for further investigation.

Ampco-Pittsburgh does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.