When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Amcor plc (NYSE:AMCR) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 22.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Amcor as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Amcor
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Amcor.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Amcor's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 29%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 17% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Amcor's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Amcor's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Amcor maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Amcor (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AMCR
Amcor
Develops, produces, and sells packaging products in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific.
Good value with limited growth.