Stock Analysis
- United States
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- Packaging
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- NYSE:AMBP
Can Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Maintain Its Strong Returns?
One of the best investments we can make is in our own knowledge and skill set. With that in mind, this article will work through how we can use Return On Equity (ROE) to better understand a business. By way of learning-by-doing, we'll look at ROE to gain a better understanding of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP).
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
View our latest analysis for Ardagh Metal Packaging
How Is ROE Calculated?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ardagh Metal Packaging is:
52% = US$237m ÷ US$455m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.52 in profit.
Does Ardagh Metal Packaging Have A Good Return On Equity?
By comparing a company's ROE with its industry average, we can get a quick measure of how good it is. The limitation of this approach is that some companies are quite different from others, even within the same industry classification. Pleasingly, Ardagh Metal Packaging has a superior ROE than the average (23%) in the Packaging industry.
That's what we like to see. With that said, a high ROE doesn't always indicate high profitability. A higher proportion of debt in a company's capital structure may also result in a high ROE, where the high debt levels could be a huge risk . Our risks dashboardshould have the 4 risks we have identified for Ardagh Metal Packaging.
How Does Debt Impact Return On Equity?
Virtually all companies need money to invest in the business, to grow profits. The cash for investment can come from prior year profits (retained earnings), issuing new shares, or borrowing. In the case of the first and second options, the ROE will reflect this use of cash, for growth. In the latter case, the debt used for growth will improve returns, but won't affect the total equity. Thus the use of debt can improve ROE, albeit along with extra risk in the case of stormy weather, metaphorically speaking.
Ardagh Metal Packaging's Debt And Its 52% ROE
It seems that Ardagh Metal Packaging uses a huge volume of debt to fund the business, since it has an extremely high debt to equity ratio of 7.18. Its ROE is clearly quite good, but it seems to be boosted by the significant use of debt by the company.
Summary
Return on equity is useful for comparing the quality of different businesses. A company that can achieve a high return on equity without debt could be considered a high quality business. All else being equal, a higher ROE is better.
Having said that, while ROE is a useful indicator of business quality, you'll have to look at a whole range of factors to determine the right price to buy a stock. It is important to consider other factors, such as future profit growth -- and how much investment is required going forward. So I think it may be worth checking this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
Of course Ardagh Metal Packaging may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have high ROE and low debt.
What are the risks and opportunities for Ardagh Metal Packaging?
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., together with its subsidiaries, supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil.
Rewards
Trading at 32.2% below our estimate of its fair value
Became profitable this year
Risks
Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 5.4% per year for the next 3 years
Interest payments are not well covered by earnings
High level of non-cash earnings
Further research on
Ardagh Metal Packaging
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., together with its subsidiaries, supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil.
Good value with questionable track record.
