company background image
AMBP

Ardagh Metal Packaging NYSE:AMBP Stock Report

Last Price

US$6.30

Market Cap

US$3.8b

7D

-8.8%

1Y

-38.4%

Updated

15 May, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
AMBP fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends2/6

AMBP Stock Overview

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil.

Ardagh Metal Packaging Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Ardagh Metal Packaging
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$6.30
52 Week HighUS$12.43
52 Week LowUS$5.96
Beta0
1 Month Change-20.66%
3 Month Change-31.45%
1 Year Change-38.36%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-37.00%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

AMBPUS PackagingUS Market
7D-8.8%-4.4%-2.5%
1Y-38.4%-18.3%-10.4%

Return vs Industry: AMBP underperformed the US Packaging industry which returned -18.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AMBP underperformed the US Market which returned -10.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AMBP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AMBP volatility
AMBP Average Weekly Movement6.9%
Packaging Industry Average Movement4.8%
Market Average Movement7.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.7%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.8%

Stable Share Price: AMBP is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: AMBP's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
n/a5,800Oliver Grahamhttps://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Its products are used in various end-use categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine. The company serves beverage producers.

Ardagh Metal Packaging Fundamentals Summary

How do Ardagh Metal Packaging's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AMBP fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$3.80b
Earnings (TTM)-US$79.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$4.25b

0.9x

P/S Ratio

-48.1x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
AMBP income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$4.25b
Cost of RevenueUS$3.61b
Gross ProfitUS$645.00m
Other ExpensesUS$724.00m
Earnings-US$79.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.13
Gross Margin15.17%
Net Profit Margin-1.86%
Debt/Equity Ratio672.0%

How did AMBP perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.3%

Current Dividend Yield

-72%

Payout Ratio

Valuation

Is Ardagh Metal Packaging undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • PE vs Industry

  • PE vs Market

  • PEG Ratio

  • PB vs Industry


>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: AMBP ($6.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($52.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMBP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: AMBP is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Packaging industry average.

PE vs Market: AMBP is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AMBP's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: AMBP is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (9.2x) compared to the US Packaging industry average (2.9x).


Future Growth

How is Ardagh Metal Packaging forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 6 analysts?

Future Growth Score

5/6

Future Growth Score 5/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


54.0%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AMBP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: AMBP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: AMBP's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AMBP's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AMBP's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AMBP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (36.2%)


Past Performance

How has Ardagh Metal Packaging performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

0/6

Past Performance Score 0/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


-20.0%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: AMBP is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: AMBP is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: AMBP is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 20% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare AMBP's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: AMBP is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Packaging industry (15.6%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: AMBP has a negative Return on Equity (-19.04%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Financial Health

How is Ardagh Metal Packaging's financial position?

Financial Health Score

1/6

Financial Health Score 1/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Stable Cash Runway

  • Forecast Cash Runway

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: AMBP's short term assets ($1.8B) exceed its short term liabilities ($1.5B).

Long Term Liabilities: AMBP's short term assets ($1.8B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($3.5B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: AMBP's net debt to equity ratio (617.8%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: Insufficient data to determine if AMBP's debt to equity ratio has reduced over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: AMBP has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: AMBP has less than a year of cash runway if free cash flow continues to reduce at historical rates of 85.9% each year


Dividend

What is Ardagh Metal Packaging current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

2/6

Dividend Score 2/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Future Dividend Coverage


6.35%

Current Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: AMBP's dividend (6.35%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.54%).

High Dividend: AMBP's dividend (6.35%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.05%)


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Too early to tell whether AMBP's dividend payments have been stable as they only just started paying a dividend.

Growing Dividend: Too early to tell if AMBP's dividend payments are increasing as they only just started paying a dividend.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: AMBP is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: AMBP is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.3yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Oliver Graham (52 yo)

no data

Tenure

Mr. Oliver Graham serves as Chief Executive Officer and Director of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. He serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Metal Beverage business at Ardagh Group S.A since January 1, 2020...


Board Members

Experienced Board: AMBP's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Insufficient data to determine if shareholders have been diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
  • Ticker: AMBP
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: NaN
  • Industry: Metal and Glass Containers
  • Sector: Materials
  • Implied Market Cap: US$3.801b
  • Shares outstanding: 603.31m
  • Website: https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
  • 56, rue Charles Martel
  • Luxembourg
  • 2134
  • Luxembourg

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/05/15 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/05/13 00:00
Earnings2022/03/31
Annual Earnings2021/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.