Greif (GEF) Stock Overview
Produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
GEF Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 13 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Materials opportunity
ST
Fair Value from
CA$5.0768.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
An Undervalued 3.3Moz Gold Project in Canada
Key takeaways Upside Gold is developing the Kena Gold Project, near the town of Nelson in the Kootenays region of southern British Columbia. Kena hosts a historical gold resource of 3.33 million ounces (561,000 ounces Indicated and 2.77 million ounces Inferred) across a 10,200-hectare land package.
Read full narrativeGreif, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$68.00 |
| 52 Week High | US$77.14 |
| 52 Week Low | US$53.82 |
| Beta | 0.83 |
| 1 Month Change | 0.88% |
| 3 Month Change | -9.68% |
| 1 Year Change | 23.93% |
| 3 Year Change | 9.45% |
| 5 Year Change | 6.27% |
| Change since IPO | 5,944.44% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 03
GEF: Revised Assumptions And Dividend Outlook Will Support Future Capital Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Greif by $6 to $90, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations affect where Greif should trade.
Narrative Update • Apr 18
GEF: Cash Returns And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed Greif's implied value slightly, with the fair value estimate moving from about $79.00 to roughly $78.20 as they factor in updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, future P/E, and recent shifts in Street price targets from firms such as BofA and Baird. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Greif shows a tight cluster of target price moves, with some analysts nudging estimates higher and others trimming them, which helps explain the modest step down in the overall fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 03
GEF: Beverage Packaging Demand And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update on Greif Greif's updated analyst price target has shifted modestly to $79.00. Analysts point to mixed packaging volume expectations, ongoing beverage can growth in North America and Europe, disciplined containerboard supply management, and uncertainty around the use of recent asset sale proceeds as key drivers of their revised views.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 03
GEF: Revised Assumptions And Dividend Outlook Will Support Future Capital Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Greif by $6 to $90, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations affect where Greif should trade.Narrative Update • Apr 18
GEF: Cash Returns And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed Greif's implied value slightly, with the fair value estimate moving from about $79.00 to roughly $78.20 as they factor in updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, future P/E, and recent shifts in Street price targets from firms such as BofA and Baird. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Greif shows a tight cluster of target price moves, with some analysts nudging estimates higher and others trimming them, which helps explain the modest step down in the overall fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 03
GEF: Beverage Packaging Demand And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update on Greif Greif's updated analyst price target has shifted modestly to $79.00. Analysts point to mixed packaging volume expectations, ongoing beverage can growth in North America and Europe, disciplined containerboard supply management, and uncertainty around the use of recent asset sale proceeds as key drivers of their revised views.Narrative Update • Mar 20
GEF: Containerboard Sale Proceeds Will Support Future Capital Returns And Margin Resilience
Narrative Update on Greif Analyst price targets for Greif have moved higher, with recent increases of $6 at BofA, $15 at Baird, and $8 at Truist, reflecting analyst expectations tied to disciplined supply management in containerboard and steady beverage can volume trends in North America and Europe. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Greif points to a more constructive tone, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets as they reassess the company after the sale of its containerboard business and review end market trends.Narrative Update • Mar 06
GEF: Beverage Packaging Resilience And Cash Deployment Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price targets for Greif, supporting a modest fair value adjustment to about $80 per share as they factor in updated discount rate assumptions, slightly different revenue and margin expectations, and a revised future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Greif centers on how the company will execute after the sale of its containerboard business and how that translates into valuation support around the updated price targets in the mid to high US$70s.Narrative Update • Feb 19
GEF: Beverage Can Demand And Cash Deployment Will Shape Future Risk Balance
Analysts have lifted their Greif price targets, with one moving to $74 and another to $79, citing cautious expectations for packaging volumes, support from beverage can growth, and disciplined containerboard pricing. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Greif focuses on how the company might balance its recent portfolio changes with a packaging demand outlook that is described as modestly challenged, while still supporting higher valuation targets.Narrative Update • Feb 05
GEF: Capital Deployment From Containerboard Sale Will Support Future Margin Strength
Analysts have nudged their Greif price targets higher, with recent moves such as BofA lifting its target to $74 from $68 and Truist to $79 from $71. They cite expectations for steadier packaging volumes, ongoing beverage can growth in North America and Europe, and disciplined supply management supporting containerboard pricing.
New Narrative • Jan 29
Muted Demand And Cost Cuts Will Limit Returns From New Packaging Investments
Catalysts About Greif Greif is a global industrial packaging company focused on polymers, metals, fiber based products and closures that serve industrial, chemical, agricultural, mining and paper related end markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 22
GEF: Beverage Can Demand And Capital Allocation Will Support Stronger Margins
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Greif into the mid to high US$70s, citing expectations for steadier packaging trends, ongoing beverage can demand, and disciplined containerboard pricing as key supports for the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show bullish analysts lifting their price targets on Greif into a higher trading range, with targets in the mid to high US$70s.Narrative Update • Jan 06
GEF: Beverage Can Demand And Capital Deployment Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Greif's updated fair value estimate of $73.80, up from $72.60, aligns with recent analyst price target increases into the mid to high $70s. Analysts point to steadier packaging demand, continued growth in beverage cans and disciplined containerboard supply management.Narrative Update • Dec 14
GEF: Containerboard Exit Will Support Stronger Margins And Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Greif higher to $96 from $93 per share, as they factor in a lower perceived risk profile, stronger margin outlook, and supportive industry dynamics following the sale of its containerboard assets. They believe this transaction should enhance cash generation and return potential.Narrative Update • Nov 29
GEF: Asset Sale Proceeds And Cash Position Will Balance Near-Term Volume Risks
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Greif from $72 to $71, citing ongoing volume challenges and a desire for greater visibility on earnings replacement following recent asset sales. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes provide a mixed outlook for Greif, reflecting both opportunities and ongoing challenges in the company's strategic positioning and market environment.Narrative Update • Nov 15
GEF: Proceeds From Recent Asset Sales Will Support Financial Flexibility
Greif's analyst price target has shifted slightly lower, from $73.80 to $72.60, as analysts weigh the impact of recent asset sales and evolving industry headwinds while considering stable financial fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mix of optimism and caution regarding Greif's outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 01
GEF: Balance Sheet Flexibility And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Momentum
Analysts have lowered their price target for Greif from $72 to $71 per share. They cite continued challenges in volume growth and uncertainties around replacing earnings after recent asset sales.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Cost Optimization And Polymer Packaging Will Build Future Efficiency
Greif's analyst price target has been revised downward from $75.80 to $73.80, reflecting tempered expectations following recent asset sales and ongoing sector headwinds cited by analysts. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Greif has reflected a mix of optimism and caution regarding the company’s valuation and future prospects following recent asset sales and shifting sector trends.Seeking Alpha • Sep 08
Greif: Good Greif, Firepower For M&A
Summary Despite macro headwinds and uneven segment volumes, Greif's underlying profitability and free cash flow are improving, highlighting business resilience. Recent asset sales have strengthened the balance sheet, providing significant capital for M&A, with management targeting high-margin, growth segments. Portfolio pivot by divesting containerboard/timberlands to focus on higher-margin pharma, F&B, agrochemicals. Management sees recovery only by 2H26; rate cuts help slowly; tariffs immaterial directly but weigh on customers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 30
Greif (NYSE:GEF) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
Grief Over Greif Represents A Buying Opportunity
Summary Despite a challenging market, Greif, Inc. stock remains a Buy due to its attractive valuation and management's optimistic long-term outlook. Greif's Customized Polymer Solutions and Sustainable Fiber Solutions segments drove revenue growth, with significant contributions from recent acquisitions and higher container board prices. Profitability faced setbacks due to non-cash asset impairment charges and tax benefits, but gross profit margin and EBITDA showed improvement. Management's strategic actions, including cost optimization and operational closures, aim to enhance future profitability, justifying the 'buy' rating for GEF despite economic uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 29
Greif Offers Long-Term Potential, Even With Recent Cash Flow Pain
Summary Greif, Inc. remains a “buy” despite declining profits and cash flows, driven by strong revenue growth and strategic acquisitions in its Global Industrial Packaging segment. The company's Paper Packaging & Services segment also showed solid revenue growth, supported by higher containerboard prices and product mix changes. Management's long-term focus and ambitious growth plans, including a projected $1 billion EBITDA by 2027, make Greif a compelling investment opportunity. Despite current profitability challenges, GEF stock's attractive valuation and strategic investments position it for significant future upside, potentially exceeding S&P 500 average returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 02
Greif (NYSE:GEF) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Oct 24
What Does Greif, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEF) Share Price Indicate?
Greif, Inc. ( NYSE:GEF ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...
New Narrative • Sep 05
From Polymer Innovations To Critical Growth And Enhanced Margins
Shifting to material solution-focused operations will increase operational efficiency and improve profitability by enhancing accountability and driving cost efficiencies.Analysis Article • Aug 24
Here's Why Greif (NYSE:GEF) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Aug 05
Benign Growth For Greif, Inc. (NYSE:GEF) Underpins Its Share Price
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may...Analysis Article • Jul 15
Is There Now An Opportunity In Greif, Inc. (NYSE:GEF)?
Greif, Inc. ( NYSE:GEF ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Seeking Alpha • Jul 10
Greif: Not Compelled To Shift Our Neutral Stance
Summary Greif, an industrial packaging player, has faced a difficult twelve months losing 15% and underperforming its material and small-cap peers. Greif is facing volume challenges across multiple regions, but sequential improvements can be seen, as global manufacturing PMI trends improve and benefits from recent price hikes get reflected. Spike in leverage, limited FCF uplift, and pricey forward valuations also make Greif stock unattractive for investment at the moment. The stock has broken down from a multi-year channel, with selling pressure yet to abate. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 14
Greif: Another Price Increase? Good Greif
Summary GEF experienced weakening customer demand patterns in FY23, which is expected to continue in FY24, but has consistently reported robust profitability margins throughout the years. The firm has raised prices for the third time this year in response to rising raw material, energy, labour, and transportation costs. GEF's recent acquisitions, including Ipackchem, aim to drive growth in high-margin jerry can and small plastics markets. Gaining favourable exposure to stable end-markets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 23
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Greif, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEF) Low P/E
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.7x Greif, Inc. ( NYSE:GEF ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Apr 05
These 4 Measures Indicate That Greif (NYSE:GEF) Is Using Debt Extensively
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Analysis Article • Mar 19
Should You Investigate Greif, Inc. (NYSE:GEF) At US$63.00?
Greif, Inc. ( NYSE:GEF ), might not be a large cap stock, but it maintained its current share price over the past...Analysis Article • Mar 01
Greif (NYSE:GEF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.52
The board of Greif, Inc. ( NYSE:GEF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.52 per share on the 1st of April...Seeking Alpha • Feb 01
Greif: Performance And Expectations Are Worsening, But The Share Price Remains High
Summary Revenues keep decreasing as volumes are weak, but the IPACKCHEM acquisition should give them a boost in fiscal 2024. Gross profit and EBITDA margins remain high, and despite a recent contraction, recent product price raises should stabilize them. The debt profile has improved significantly in recent years, although debt will increase in fiscal 2024 as a result of the IPACKCHEM acquisition. The dividend remains safe as the company has historically reported low cash payout ratios. This represents a good company for long-term dividend investors, but I would wait for a better entry point. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 02
Greif, Inc. (NYSE:GEF) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Greif, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared...Seeking Alpha • Dec 21
Greif: Low Demand And Weak Results Signal Limited Growth
Summary Greif's performance has been affected by rising interest rates & declining industry demand, and this trend is expected to continue, impacting profitability. The company distributed $0.50 dividends in the first two quarters of FY2023, raised it to $0.52 in Q3 and Q4, resulting in annual dividend of $2.04 which is 3.07% yield. GEF has reported a downturn in net sales & net income in quarterly & full-year results due to lower demand and selling prices. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| GEF | US Packaging | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| 1Y | 23.9% | -3.1% | 31.0% |
Return vs Industry: GEF exceeded the US Packaging industry which returned -3.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GEF underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GEF volatility | |
|---|---|
| GEF Average Weekly Movement | 3.2% |
| Packaging Industry Average Movement | 5.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: GEF has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: GEF's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1877 | 12,000 | Ole Rosgaard | www.greif.com |
Greif, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions; Durable Metal Solutions; Sustainable Fiber Solutions; and Integrated Solutions. The Customized Polymer Solutions segment produces and sells polymer-based packaging products, such as plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics for chemicals, food and beverage, agricultural, pharmaceutical, and mineral products industries.
Greif, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| GEF fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$3.51b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$180.47m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$4.26b |
17.4x
P/E Ratio0.7x
P/S RatioIs GEF overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GEF income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$4.26b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$3.31b |
| Gross Profit | US$952.43m |
| Other Expenses | US$771.95m |
| Earnings | US$180.47m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 3.91 |
| Gross Margin | 22.34% |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.23% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 32.7% |
How did GEF perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.3%
Current Dividend Yield77%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 01:45 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Greif, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ghansham Panjabi | Baird |
| Walter Liptak | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |
| Mark Wilde | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |