Stock Analysis

Ardagh Metal Packaging's (NYSE:AMBP) Dividend Will Be $0.10

NYSE:AMBP
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Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on the 26th of June. This makes the dividend yield 10.0%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

View our latest analysis for Ardagh Metal Packaging

Ardagh Metal Packaging's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Ardagh Metal Packaging isn't generating any profits, and it is paying out a very high proportion of the cash it is earning. These payout levels would generally be quite difficult to keep up.

Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 49%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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NYSE:AMBP Historic Dividend June 4th 2024

Ardagh Metal Packaging Is Still Building Its Track Record

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. The most recent annual payment of $0.40 is about the same as the annual payment 2 years ago. We like that the dividend hasn't been shrinking. However we're conscious that the company hasn't got an overly long track record of dividend payments yet, which makes us wary of relying on its dividend income.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Ardagh Metal Packaging has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 6.1% per annum. It's not an ideal situation that the company isn't turning a profit but the growth recently is a positive sign. All is not lost, but the future of the dividend definitely rests upon the company's ability to become profitable soon.

Ardagh Metal Packaging's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Ardagh Metal Packaging that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Ardagh Metal Packaging not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.