Stock Analysis

TMC the metals (TMC) Is Up 6.6% After Advancing Deep-Sea Mining Permits With U.S. Backing – Has The Bull Case Changed?

  • Earlier this year, The Metals Company advanced its deep-sea mining ambitions by opting for a U.S.-based regulatory path to secure mining permits for extracting polymetallic nodules from the Clarion Clipperton Zone.
  • This move, paired with executive orders from the Trump administration supporting and accelerating deep-sea mining permitting, has been highlighted by industry experts as reducing operational risks for the company.
  • We’ll explore how U.S. regulatory progress and government backing are shaping The Metals Company’s investment narrative in the sector.

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What Is TMC the metals' Investment Narrative?

To get behind TMC as a shareholder, you really have to believe in the long-term future of deep-sea minerals as a critical source of metals for energy transition. The company's pivot to a U.S.-based regulatory approach is a meaningful shift, especially in light of the Trump administration’s recent executive orders supporting deep-sea mining. This may help reduce regulatory hurdles that have been some of the biggest short-term risks for TMC, potentially speeding up permitting, access to the Clarion Clipperton Zone, and eventually, commercial revenues. Still, despite these positive signals, TMC remains unprofitable with no revenue, increased losses this year, and its valuation remains far above sector averages. It also faces shareholder dilution, legal uncertainties, and a volatile share price. The latest regulatory news could address one major risk, but does not solve others overnight.

However, regulatory support is just one part of a complex risk equation investors should consider.

The analysis detailed in our TMC the metals valuation report hints at an inflated share price compared to its estimated value.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TMC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
TMC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
The Simply Wall St Community brings together 34 unique fair value estimates for TMC, ranging from US$1.05 to US$10.50 per share. While perspectives on future potential vary widely, it is clear recent regulatory moves could shift short-term risks, so it pays to examine how such developments frame the ongoing debate about value, risk and opportunity for TMC.

Explore 34 other fair value estimates on TMC the metals - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

Build Your Own TMC the metals Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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