Stock Analysis

Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NasdaqGS:STLD
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Steel Dynamics

How Much Debt Does Steel Dynamics Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Steel Dynamics had US$3.03b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.25b, its net debt is less, at about US$1.78b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:STLD Debt to Equity History September 16th 2024

A Look At Steel Dynamics' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Steel Dynamics had liabilities of US$2.66b due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.29b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.25b as well as receivables valued at US$1.78b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.92b.

Of course, Steel Dynamics has a titanic market capitalization of US$17.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Steel Dynamics's net debt is only 0.59 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 44.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that Steel Dynamics's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 34% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Steel Dynamics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Steel Dynamics recorded free cash flow worth 51% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Steel Dynamics is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Steel Dynamics's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Steel Dynamics , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.