Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Bon Natural Life (NASDAQ:BON) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

NasdaqCM:BON
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Bon Natural Life Limited (NASDAQ:BON) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for Bon Natural Life

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqCM:BON Earnings and Revenue History August 8th 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Bon Natural Life's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2022, Bon Natural Life recorded an accrual ratio of 0.42. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of US$6.4m despite its profit of US$4.83m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Bon Natural Life generated positive FCF of US$193k a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Bon Natural Life's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Bon Natural Life's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Bon Natural Life's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Bon Natural Life, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 4 warning signs for Bon Natural Life (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Bon Natural Life's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bon Natural Life is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.