Lancashire Holdings Limited

OTCPK:LCSH.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

Lancashire Holdings Valuation

Is LCSH.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LCSH.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LCSH.F ($7.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($36.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LCSH.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LCSH.F?

Key metric: As LCSH.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LCSH.F. This is calculated by dividing LCSH.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LCSH.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
EarningsUS$363.10m
Market CapUS$1.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LCSH.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LCSH.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group
3.9x-1.3%US$1.9b
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group
16.1x8.2%US$2.1b
FIHL Fidelis Insurance Holdings
4.9x3.2%US$2.3b
PLMR Palomar Holdings
26.4x23.4%US$2.9b
LCSH.F Lancashire Holdings
5.2x-7.2%US$1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LCSH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LCSH.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UTGN UTG
2xn/aUS$89.08m
AORE.F American Overseas Group
2.1xn/aUS$16.68m
CUII China United Insurance Service
0.0003xn/aUS$3.13k
No more companies available in this PE range
LCSH.F 5.2xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LCSH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LCSH.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LCSH.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LCSH.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LCSH.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.71
US$9.98
+29.5%
7.2%US$12.16US$8.97n/a14
Nov ’25US$7.85
US$9.93
+26.5%
7.0%US$11.80US$9.16n/a14
Oct ’25n/a
US$9.85
0%
8.0%US$11.80US$8.24n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
US$9.73
0%
7.9%US$11.80US$8.25n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
US$9.64
0%
7.6%US$11.42US$7.79n/a16
Jul ’25n/a
US$9.53
0%
8.1%US$11.42US$7.79n/a16
Jun ’25n/a
US$9.48
0%
8.6%US$11.42US$7.51n/a16
May ’25n/a
US$9.45
0%
8.2%US$11.09US$7.51n/a16
Apr ’25n/a
US$9.53
0%
8.3%US$11.09US$7.51n/a16
Mar ’25US$8.20
US$9.38
+14.5%
7.8%US$10.65US$7.51n/a16
Feb ’25US$7.50
US$9.29
+23.9%
8.4%US$10.65US$7.51n/a16
Jan ’25US$7.95
US$9.24
+16.2%
9.1%US$10.74US$7.21n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
US$9.23
0%
9.1%US$10.74US$7.21n/a16
Nov ’24US$7.18
US$8.91
+24.1%
8.9%US$10.33US$7.21US$7.8516
Oct ’24n/a
US$9.14
0%
9.3%US$10.95US$7.59n/a16
Sep ’24US$7.00
US$9.12
+30.3%
10.0%US$10.95US$7.59n/a16
Aug ’24n/a
US$9.09
0%
10.4%US$10.95US$7.59n/a16
Jul ’24US$7.00
US$8.95
+27.8%
11.0%US$10.95US$7.32n/a16
Jun ’24n/a
US$8.82
0%
11.3%US$10.95US$7.32n/a17
May ’24US$7.50
US$8.77
+17.0%
10.7%US$10.36US$7.32n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
US$8.77
0%
9.8%US$10.36US$7.31n/a16
Mar ’24US$7.20
US$8.75
+21.6%
9.6%US$10.36US$7.31US$8.2017
Feb ’24n/a
US$8.39
0%
12.5%US$10.08US$5.87US$7.5017
Jan ’24n/a
US$7.88
0%
12.3%US$9.67US$5.87US$7.9517
Dec ’23n/a
US$7.61
0%
14.1%US$9.67US$5.86n/a17
Nov ’23n/a
US$7.08
0%
14.5%US$8.75US$5.86US$7.1818

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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