Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:SKWD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Valuation

Is SKWD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SKWD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$95.37
Fair Value
54.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SKWD ($43.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($95.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SKWD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SKWD?

Key metric: As SKWD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SKWD. This is calculated by dividing SKWD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SKWD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsUS$133.50m
Market CapUS$1.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SKWD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SKWD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.9x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group
4x-2.6%US$2.0b
FIHL Fidelis Insurance Holdings
4x2.5%US$1.9b
HCI HCI Group
9.2x6.2%US$1.3b
PLMR Palomar Holdings
26.2x21.3%US$2.9b
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group
13.1x8.7%US$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SKWD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SKWD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UTGN UTG
2.1xn/aUS$93.81m
AIFU AIX
1.1xn/aUS$23.73m
AORE.F American Overseas Group
2.3xn/aUS$15.74m
CUII China United Insurance Service
0.0003xn/aUS$3.13k
No more companies available in this PE range
SKWD 13.1xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies16PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SKWD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SKWD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SKWD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SKWD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SKWD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$43.72
US$52.90
+21.0%
9.6%US$61.00US$43.00n/a10
Jan ’26US$50.54
US$53.11
+5.1%
9.4%US$61.00US$45.00n/a9
Dec ’25US$54.11
US$51.44
-4.9%
6.9%US$55.00US$45.00n/a9
Nov ’25US$43.70
US$49.56
+13.4%
8.8%US$55.00US$43.00n/a9
Oct ’25US$40.94
US$46.44
+13.4%
4.8%US$50.00US$43.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$40.87
US$46.75
+14.4%
4.6%US$50.00US$43.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$38.67
US$44.75
+15.7%
5.2%US$47.00US$40.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$36.10
US$44.63
+23.6%
5.2%US$47.00US$40.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$37.32
US$44.38
+18.9%
4.9%US$47.00US$40.00n/a8
May ’25US$35.50
US$42.63
+20.1%
6.8%US$46.00US$37.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$37.27
US$42.00
+12.7%
6.9%US$46.00US$37.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$36.00
US$41.63
+15.6%
6.1%US$45.00US$37.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$30.13
US$38.13
+26.5%
8.0%US$41.00US$31.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$33.88
US$36.86
+8.8%
8.5%US$40.00US$31.00US$50.547
Dec ’24US$32.73
US$34.71
+6.1%
9.7%US$40.00US$29.00US$54.117
Nov ’24US$28.32
US$31.29
+10.5%
7.2%US$35.00US$28.00US$43.707
Oct ’24US$27.36
US$30.00
+9.6%
8.4%US$35.00US$27.00US$40.947
Sep ’24US$24.28
US$30.00
+23.6%
8.4%US$35.00US$27.00US$40.877
Aug ’24US$23.80
US$29.00
+21.8%
7.8%US$34.00US$27.00US$38.677
Jul ’24US$25.40
US$28.67
+12.9%
8.5%US$34.00US$27.00US$36.106
Jun ’24US$23.58
US$28.50
+20.9%
8.8%US$34.00US$27.00US$37.326
May ’24US$21.57
US$24.50
+13.6%
4.6%US$26.00US$23.00US$35.506
Apr ’24US$21.87
US$23.83
+9.0%
5.6%US$26.00US$22.00US$37.276
Mar ’24US$19.54
US$23.67
+21.1%
6.3%US$26.00US$22.00US$36.006
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
US$52.90
Fair Value
17.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/30 00:14
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tracy Dolin-BenguiguiBarclays
Alex ScottBarclays
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research