RLI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

RLI's earnings are forecast to decline at 10.5% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 3.9% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 10.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-10.5%

Earnings growth rate

-10.9%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	11.2%
Revenue growth rate	3.9%
Future return on equity	15.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Results: RLI Corp. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Apr 26

Recent updates

RLI Corp.: A Resilient Dividend Champion Navigating 2024 With Strong Underwriting And Growth Potential

Oct 25

Results: RLI Corp. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Apr 26

RLI Corp.: Mounting Competition In Property, But No Alarms

Mar 11

Getting In Cheap On RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Is Unlikely

Feb 15

RLI Corp.: A Dividend Aristocrat Priced For Perfection

Aug 07

RLI Corp.: The Always Expensive Dividend Aristocrat Priced For Perfection

May 23

RLI declares $0.26 dividend

Feb 09

RLI GAAP EPS of $2.13 beats by $0.96, revenue of $360.59M beats by $36.67M

Jan 25

RLI Continues To Grow Its Premiums

Dec 19

RLI Q3 2022 Earnings Preview

Oct 18

RLI Continues An Aristocratic Tradition But Is Construction Exposed

Aug 25

RLI declares $0.26 dividend

Aug 17

RLI Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Jul 19

RLI Corp. Delivers Inflation-Resilient Growth, But Quality Priced In

May 16

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:RLI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	1,924	325	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	1,825	315	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2024	1,767	355	N/A	N/A	6
9/30/2024	1,765	420	550	554	N/A
6/30/2024	1,626	338	426	433	N/A
3/31/2024	1,592	334	460	466	N/A
12/31/2023	1,512	305	458	464	N/A
9/30/2023	1,439	288	303	310	N/A
6/30/2023	1,967	714	318	323	N/A
3/31/2023	1,798	634	275	281	N/A
12/31/2022	1,698	583	245	250	N/A
9/30/2022	1,661	581	380	387	N/A
6/30/2022	1,072	170	383	391	N/A
3/31/2022	1,157	254	354	364	N/A
12/31/2021	1,179	279	377	385	N/A
9/30/2021	1,160	268	375	380	N/A
6/30/2021	1,153	281	338	344	N/A
3/31/2021	1,153	291	325	329	N/A
12/31/2020	984	157	257	263	N/A
9/30/2020	944	127	246	253	N/A
6/30/2020	918	117	248	255	N/A
3/31/2020	858	65	233	240	N/A
12/31/2019	1,004	192	270	277	N/A
9/30/2019	911	118	235	240	N/A
6/30/2019	915	125	217	222	N/A
3/31/2019	896	117	227	232	N/A
12/31/2018	818	64	211	217	N/A
9/30/2018	854	142	208	215	N/A
6/30/2018	809	104	N/A	223	N/A
3/31/2018	786	97	N/A	202	N/A
12/31/2017	797	105	N/A	198	N/A
9/30/2017	802	80	N/A	197	N/A
6/30/2017	812	100	N/A	179	N/A
3/31/2017	812	103	N/A	164	N/A
12/31/2016	816	115	N/A	174	N/A
9/30/2016	811	117	N/A	154	N/A
6/30/2016	806	130	N/A	151	N/A
3/31/2016	801	138	N/A	150	N/A
12/31/2015	795	138	N/A	153	N/A
9/30/2015	791	141	N/A	159	N/A
6/30/2015	787	139	N/A	156	N/A
3/31/2015	790	137	N/A	148	N/A
12/31/2014	775	135	N/A	123	N/A
9/30/2014	757	132	N/A	139	N/A
6/30/2014	748	136	N/A	147	N/A
3/31/2014	726	130	N/A	139	N/A
12/31/2013	706	126	N/A	135	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: RLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RLI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RLI's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RLI's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RLI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.3%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/19 00:05
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

RLI Corp. is covered by 19 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Cullen Johnson	B. Riley Securities, Inc.
Casey Alexander	Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC
Randolph Binner	FBR Capital Markets & Co.

RLI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 34%

Results: RLI Corp. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Price target increased by 8.4% to US$159

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%

RLI Corp. Provides Catastrophe Losses Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2022

Recent updates

Chief Operating Officer exercised options and sold US$1.4m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$4.29 per share

Insider exercised options and sold US$672k worth of stock

Third quarter dividend of US$4.29 announced

RLI Corp. Announces Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 20, 2024

RLI Corp.: A Resilient Dividend Champion Navigating 2024 With Strong Underwriting And Growth Potential

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

RLI Corp. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 21, 2024

Getting In Cheap On RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Is Unlikely

Chief Operating Officer exercised options and sold US$1.2m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.29 per share

A 'RLI'able Dividend Champion

Second quarter dividend of US$0.29 announced

RLI Corp. Declares Third Quarter Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on September 20, 2024

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

RLI Corp. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 22, 2024

RLI Corp.: Results In Spite Of Expected Competition

Upcoming dividend of US$0.29 per share

RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

First quarter dividend of US$0.29 announced

RLI Corp. Declares Second Quarter Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on June 20, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 34%

Results: RLI Corp. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

RLI Corp. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 22, 2024

RLI Corp., Annual General Meeting, May 02, 2024

RLI Corp.: Mounting Competition In Property, But No Alarms

Chairman of the Board exercised options and sold US$1.3m worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.27 per share

Getting In Cheap On RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Is Unlikely

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.27 announced

RLI Corp. Announces Quarter Regular Cash Dividend for the Period from February 29, 2024, Payable on March 20, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

RLI Corp. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 24, 2024

RLI Corp. Announces Executive Changes

Chief Investment Officer & Treasurer exercised options and sold US$498k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$2.27 per share at 2.2% yield

RLI Corp. Appoints Clark C. Kellogg to Board of Directors, Effective January 1, 2024

RLI Corp. Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 20, 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

RLI Corp. Announces Retirement of Kaj Ahlmann from the Board of Directors

Now 21% undervalued

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

RLI Corp. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 23, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.27 per share at 6.2% yield

RLI Corp. Declares Regular Cash Dividend for Third Quarter 2023, Payable on September 20, 2023

RLI Corp.: A Dividend Aristocrat Priced For Perfection

New major risk - Earnings quality

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

RLI Corp. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 24, 2023

RLI Corp. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 24, 2023

Price target increased by 8.4% to US$159

RLI Corp.(NYSE:RLI) dropped from Russell 2000 Growth-Defensive Index

RLI Corp.: The Always Expensive Dividend Aristocrat Priced For Perfection

Upcoming dividend of US$0.27 per share at 6.2% yield

RLI Corp. Declares a Second Quarter Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on June 20, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%

Independent Director recently sold US$619k worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.26 per share at 6.0% yield

RLI Corp. Appoints Paul B. Medini as Member of the Audit and Human Capital & Compensation Committees

RLI Corp. Declares First Quarter Dividend, Payable on March 20, 2023

RLI declares $0.26 dividend

RLI Corp. Announces Resignation of Calvin G. Butler, Jr. from the Board of Directors

Chairman of the Board exercised options and sold US$3.7m worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

RLI GAAP EPS of $2.13 beats by $0.96, revenue of $360.59M beats by $36.67M