Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

NYSE:KNSL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.2b

Kinsale Capital Group Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

Kinsale Capital Group has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 30.7%, while the Insurance industry saw earnings growing at 14.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 25.3% per year. Kinsale Capital Group's return on equity is 27.9%, and it has net margins of 28.5%.

Key information

30.67%

Earnings growth rate

30.35%

EPS growth rate

Insurance Industry Growth8.02%
Revenue growth rate25.27%
Return on equity27.94%
Net Margin28.49%
Last Earnings Update30 Jun 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jul 10

KNSL: Underwriting Profitability Will Counter Short Seller Concerns And Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Kinsale Capital Group has been revised from $450 to $405 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kinsale Capital Group shows a cluster of revised price targets and rating changes as analysts refresh their models following the latest quarterly results.
Narrative Update Jun 26

KNSL: Future Premium Softness And Execution Risk May Pressure Shares

The analyst fair value estimate for Kinsale Capital Group has been revised from $309 to $267 as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E expectations, in line with a series of recent price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary on Kinsale Capital Group Recent Street research on Kinsale Capital Group points to a shift toward more cautious views, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and, in some cases, lowering ratings.
Narrative Update Jun 10

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline In Higher Risk Niches Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Kinsale Capital Group, with several recent cuts bringing the consensus closer to $330. This reflects concerns that slower premium growth and expectations for softer pricing could limit the stock's upside potential.
Seeking Alpha Jun 04

Kinsale Capital: The Selloff Is About Growth, Not Underwriting

Summary Kinsale Capital has sold off sharply, but core underwriting profitability and return on equity remain robust. KNSL’s premium growth slowdown, especially in large commercial property, has pressured valuation, yet ex-Commercial Property growth and demand indicators remain positive. Management prioritizes underwriting discipline over chasing premium volume, maintaining sub-80 combined ratios and low-20s ROE despite competitive pressures. Valuation multiples have compressed to more defensible levels, making KNSL a cautious buying opportunity for investors comfortable with slower growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 27

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline In Higher Risk Niches Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Kinsale Capital Group, with the modeled fair value edging from about $356.89 to $354.67 as they factor in softer premium growth expectations and group wide target resets across property and casualty insurers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kinsale Capital Group has tilted cautious, with several firms trimming price targets and, in some cases, lowering ratings as they reset expectations following the latest quarterly earnings season for property and casualty insurers.
Narrative Update May 06

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Dividends Will Support Returns In A Tougher Cycle

Analysts have trimmed the Kinsale Capital Group fair value estimate from $377.11 to $356.89 as they factor in slower expected revenue growth, a slightly lower profit margin and a somewhat higher discount rate, while keeping future P/E assumptions broadly in line with prior views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital Group has become more cautious, with several firms cutting price targets and, in some cases, downgrading ratings as they reassess growth, margins and competitive pressure in the current underwriting cycle.
New Narrative Apr 23

AI-Driven Cost Advantage And Growing Float Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power

Catalysts About Kinsale Capital Group Kinsale Capital Group focuses on excess and surplus lines insurance, using a low cost model and specialist underwriting to target smaller, harder to place risks. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 21

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Dividends Will Balance Slower Premium Momentum In Competitive Conditions

Analysts have reduced the Kinsale Capital Group price target by about $19 to $377, reflecting updated views on slower premium growth, slightly softer margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following a recent series of downgrades and target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital Group has become more cautious, with several firms lowering ratings and trimming price targets after slower premium growth, softer margins, and a reset in earnings expectations.
New Narrative Apr 08

AI And Litigation Risks Will Eventually Erode Margins And Pressure Future Earnings

Catalysts About Kinsale Capital Group Kinsale Capital Group focuses on excess and surplus lines insurance, targeting smaller and often more complex accounts across multiple property and casualty niches. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 07

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Dividends Will Support Returns In More Competitive P&C Conditions

Analysts have reduced their average price target on Kinsale Capital Group by about $11 to $396, reflecting a more cautious outlook on revenue growth and sector sentiment after several recent downgrades and target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital Group shows a split between analysts who still see support for the long term story and those who are more cautious on growth, competition, and valuation after the latest earnings and sector moves.
Narrative Update Mar 24

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Payouts Will Support Upside In Softer P&C Conditions

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Kinsale Capital Group from about $422 to roughly $407, reflecting slightly lower fair value and revenue growth expectations along with a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has shifted toward a more cautious stance on Kinsale Capital Group, with several firms trimming price targets and some moving to more negative ratings as they reassess growth, profitability, and sector risks.
Narrative Update Mar 10

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Buybacks Will Support Upside In Softer P&C Conditions

Kinsale Capital Group's updated fair value estimate has moved to $422.40 from $433.40, as analysts trim price targets on expectations for slower premium growth, partially offset by slightly higher projected profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E of 21.17 from 21.80. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital highlights a mix of optimism about profitability and caution around growth and sector headwinds, which is feeding into the latest fair value adjustments.
Narrative Update Feb 23

KNSL: Underwriting And Capital Returns Will Support Upside In Softer P&C Conditions

Narrative Update: Kinsale Capital Group The updated analyst price target for Kinsale Capital Group moves lower by about $24. This reflects reduced fair value assumptions tied to slower expected revenue growth and slightly lower future P/E multiples, even as analysts factor in a modestly higher profit margin outlook.
Analysis Article Feb 15

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Just Released Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

It's been a mediocre week for Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ( NYSE:KNSL ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 10% to...
Narrative Update Feb 07

KNSL: Underwriting Strength And Capital Returns Will Face Softer P&C Conditions

Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Kinsale Capital Group steady at about $458 per share, with recent price target cuts from around US$536 to US$500 and reductions to US$480 and US$415 reflecting concerns about softening property and casualty pricing, rising loss costs, and a demanding P/E multiple, despite strong underwriting margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital highlights a mix of optimism around the franchise and caution around the setup for specialty property and casualty insurance over the next few years.
Narrative Update Jan 23

KNSL: Underwriting Margins And Buybacks Will Confront Softer P&C Cycle

The analyst price target for Kinsale Capital Group has inched higher by about $1 to $457.8, as analysts factor in updated Street research that reflects mixed price target revisions, ongoing strength in underwriting margins, and cautious views on broader property and casualty pricing trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital Group reflects a split view, with some firms encouraged by the company’s underwriting track record and others more focused on slowing growth and sector wide pricing pressures in property and casualty insurance.
Narrative Update Jan 09

KNSL: Underwriting Strength Will Confront Softer P&C Cycle Into 2026

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Kinsale Capital Group from $461.00 to $456.60, reflecting a series of reduced price targets as they factor in softer P&C pricing trends, sector wide valuation pressure, and modest tweaks to growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Kinsale Capital Group point to a mixed setup, with price targets moving lower but views on execution quality and valuation drivers still split between more optimistic and more cautious camps.
Narrative Update Dec 23

KNSL: Exceptional Underwriting Margins Will Continue To Drive Strong Earnings Through 2026

Analysts have nudged their price target for Kinsale Capital modestly lower, trimming fair value by about $4 to roughly $461. They are balancing still exceptional underwriting profitability and slightly faster growth assumptions with a more cautious stance on valuation multiples amid softening property and casualty cycles.
Narrative Update Dec 09

KNSL: Strong Underwriting Margins Will Support Earnings Compounding Through 2026

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price targets on Kinsale Capital Group, with our fair value estimate easing by about $6 to roughly $465. This reflects a softer property and casualty cycle and sector-wide valuation pressure, despite still robust underwriting margins and improving profitability metrics.
Narrative Update Nov 25

KNSL: Continued Strong Underwriting Margins Will Sustain Premium Momentum Into 2025

Kinsale Capital Group's analyst price target decreased slightly by approximately $1 to about $470.89. Analysts cite slowing growth expectations and recent valuation pressures following quarterly updates in the property and casualty insurance sector.
Narrative Update Nov 10

KNSL: Ongoing Premium Momentum Will Drive Outperformance Amid Sector Headwinds

The analyst price target for Kinsale Capital Group was lowered by $18 to $472. Analysts cited a combination of modest valuation pressure in the property and casualty insurance sector, along with minor adjustments to growth and margin forecasts.
Analysis Article Oct 28

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ( NYSE:KNSL ) just released its third-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was...
Narrative Update Oct 27

Market Pressures Will Shape Opportunity Landscape Amid Ongoing Sector Transition

Analysts have lowered their price target for Kinsale Capital Group by approximately $9, citing recent pressures across the sector that have affected valuations, as well as slightly weaker growth forecasts in revenue and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Kinsale Capital Group reflect both optimism about the company's long-term earnings prospects and caution regarding near-term sector dynamics and growth headwinds.
Analysis Article Aug 24

Getting In Cheap On Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Is Unlikely

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:KNSL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.8x might make it look like a sell...
Seeking Alpha Mar 04

Kinsale: Growth Prospects And Stock Underpricing To Drive Its Upside Potential

Summary Kinsale Capital Group shows robust revenue growth and stable margins, driven by strategic underwriting, portfolio diversification, and operational efficiency. KNSL's prudent investment in debt securities and technological innovation enhances its profitability and operational capacity despite market volatility and hurricane risks. The stock remains underpriced with a target price suggesting significant upside potential, supported by strong financial metrics and technical indicators. KNSL's solid balance sheet and high cash conversion rate ensure liquidity and growth sustainability, making it a strong buy recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 07

Kinsale Q4 Earnings Preview: A Risky Long-Term Growth Play

Summary Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. excels in the E&S insurance segment, leveraging proprietary technology for superior underwriting and lower loss ratios compared to peers. Despite strong fundamentals and growth, Kinsale's premium valuation reflects its performance, trading at 8x book value, which may seem overvalued relative to peers. The company’s recent financials show strong growth, with Q3 2024 premiums up 18.5% YoY and net income up 50% YoY, maintaining high profitability. Kinsale's future growth is supported by expanding into new insurance lines and embracing AI for better risk management, though KNSL stock remains volatile. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 01

Kinsale Capital: A Policy Of Continued Growth

Summary Kinsale Capital's disciplined underwriting, low-cost model, and tech focus ensure sustained profitability and a competitive edge in the E&S market despite increased competition. Q3'24 results exceeded expectations with a 27% EPS increase and 19% growth in gross written premiums, showcasing strong operational efficiency and investment income growth. Despite decelerating growth in gross written premiums, Kinsale's combined ratio of 75.7% and 28.2% nine-month annualized ROE highlight its profitability and market resilience. Valued at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 22.9x, below its historical average, Kinsale remains attractively priced for long-term growth, supported by its unique market position and robust business model. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Kinsale Capital Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:KNSL Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Jun 261,99656900
31 Mar 261,91752700
31 Dec 251,87450400
30 Sep 251,80347400
30 Jun 251,72344700
31 Mar 251,63840500
31 Dec 241,58841500
30 Sep 241,52740900
30 Jun 241,42337100
31 Mar 241,33435100
31 Dec 231,22430800
30 Sep 231,12127200
30 Jun 231,02922900
31 Mar 2391718300
31 Dec 2283915900
30 Sep 2277414000
30 Jun 2271714400
31 Mar 2268615200
31 Dec 2165315300
30 Sep 2159614300
30 Jun 2155312100
31 Mar 2151811500
31 Dec 204608800
30 Sep 204136800
30 Jun 203696600
31 Mar 203245000
31 Dec 193166300
30 Sep 192805000
30 Jun 192624900
31 Mar 192444500
31 Dec 182223400
30 Sep 182163500
30 Jun 182042800
31 Mar 181942600
31 Dec 171872500
30 Sep 171764000
30 Jun 171634100
31 Mar 171522700
31 Dec 161422600
30 Sep 161261000
30 Jun 161111100
31 Mar 16962200
31 Dec 15812200

Quality Earnings: KNSL has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: KNSL's current net profit margins (28.5%) are higher than last year (25.9%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: KNSL's earnings have grown significantly by 30.7% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: KNSL's earnings growth over the past year (27.3%) is below its 5-year average (30.7% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: KNSL earnings growth over the past year (27.3%) did not outperform the Insurance industry 31.7%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: KNSL's Return on Equity (27.9%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


Discover strong past performing companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/28 21:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/28 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Joseph TumilloBofA Global Research
Ryan TunisCantor Fitzgerald & Co.