Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

NYSE:KNSL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.6b

Kinsale Capital Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Kinsale Capital Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 0.9% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 3.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 1.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21% in 3 years.

Key information

-0.9%

Earnings growth rate

1.12%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth2.6%
Revenue growth rate3.6%
Future return on equity20.99%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Just Released Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Feb 15
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Just Released Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Oct 28
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Recent updates

AI-Driven Cost Advantage And Growing Float Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power

Catalysts About Kinsale Capital Group Kinsale Capital Group focuses on excess and surplus lines insurance, using a low cost model and specialist underwriting to target smaller, harder to place risks. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Dividends Will Balance Slower Premium Momentum In Competitive Conditions

Analysts have reduced the Kinsale Capital Group price target by about $19 to $377, reflecting updated views on slower premium growth, slightly softer margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following a recent series of downgrades and target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital Group has become more cautious, with several firms lowering ratings and trimming price targets after slower premium growth, softer margins, and a reset in earnings expectations.

AI And Litigation Risks Will Eventually Erode Margins And Pressure Future Earnings

Catalysts About Kinsale Capital Group Kinsale Capital Group focuses on excess and surplus lines insurance, targeting smaller and often more complex accounts across multiple property and casualty niches. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Dividends Will Support Returns In More Competitive P&C Conditions

Analysts have reduced their average price target on Kinsale Capital Group by about $11 to $396, reflecting a more cautious outlook on revenue growth and sector sentiment after several recent downgrades and target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital Group shows a split between analysts who still see support for the long term story and those who are more cautious on growth, competition, and valuation after the latest earnings and sector moves.

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Payouts Will Support Upside In Softer P&C Conditions

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Kinsale Capital Group from about $422 to roughly $407, reflecting slightly lower fair value and revenue growth expectations along with a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has shifted toward a more cautious stance on Kinsale Capital Group, with several firms trimming price targets and some moving to more negative ratings as they reassess growth, profitability, and sector risks.

Kinsale Capital: Strong Business Fundamentals Support Upgrade To Strong Buy At Lower Price

Mar 21

KNSL: Underwriting Discipline And Buybacks Will Support Upside In Softer P&C Conditions

Kinsale Capital Group's updated fair value estimate has moved to $422.40 from $433.40, as analysts trim price targets on expectations for slower premium growth, partially offset by slightly higher projected profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E of 21.17 from 21.80. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital highlights a mix of optimism about profitability and caution around growth and sector headwinds, which is feeding into the latest fair value adjustments.

KNSL: Underwriting And Capital Returns Will Support Upside In Softer P&C Conditions

Narrative Update: Kinsale Capital Group The updated analyst price target for Kinsale Capital Group moves lower by about $24. This reflects reduced fair value assumptions tied to slower expected revenue growth and slightly lower future P/E multiples, even as analysts factor in a modestly higher profit margin outlook.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Just Released Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Feb 15
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Just Released Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

KNSL: Underwriting Strength And Capital Returns Will Face Softer P&C Conditions

Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Kinsale Capital Group steady at about $458 per share, with recent price target cuts from around US$536 to US$500 and reductions to US$480 and US$415 reflecting concerns about softening property and casualty pricing, rising loss costs, and a demanding P/E multiple, despite strong underwriting margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital highlights a mix of optimism around the franchise and caution around the setup for specialty property and casualty insurance over the next few years.

KNSL: Underwriting Margins And Buybacks Will Confront Softer P&C Cycle

The analyst price target for Kinsale Capital Group has inched higher by about $1 to $457.8, as analysts factor in updated Street research that reflects mixed price target revisions, ongoing strength in underwriting margins, and cautious views on broader property and casualty pricing trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kinsale Capital Group reflects a split view, with some firms encouraged by the company’s underwriting track record and others more focused on slowing growth and sector wide pricing pressures in property and casualty insurance.

KNSL: Underwriting Strength Will Confront Softer P&C Cycle Into 2026

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Kinsale Capital Group from $461.00 to $456.60, reflecting a series of reduced price targets as they factor in softer P&C pricing trends, sector wide valuation pressure, and modest tweaks to growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Kinsale Capital Group point to a mixed setup, with price targets moving lower but views on execution quality and valuation drivers still split between more optimistic and more cautious camps.

KNSL: Exceptional Underwriting Margins Will Continue To Drive Strong Earnings Through 2026

Analysts have nudged their price target for Kinsale Capital modestly lower, trimming fair value by about $4 to roughly $461. They are balancing still exceptional underwriting profitability and slightly faster growth assumptions with a more cautious stance on valuation multiples amid softening property and casualty cycles.

KNSL: Strong Underwriting Margins Will Support Earnings Compounding Through 2026

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price targets on Kinsale Capital Group, with our fair value estimate easing by about $6 to roughly $465. This reflects a softer property and casualty cycle and sector-wide valuation pressure, despite still robust underwriting margins and improving profitability metrics.

KNSL: Continued Strong Underwriting Margins Will Sustain Premium Momentum Into 2025

Kinsale Capital Group's analyst price target decreased slightly by approximately $1 to about $470.89. Analysts cite slowing growth expectations and recent valuation pressures following quarterly updates in the property and casualty insurance sector.

KNSL: Ongoing Premium Momentum Will Drive Outperformance Amid Sector Headwinds

The analyst price target for Kinsale Capital Group was lowered by $18 to $472. Analysts cited a combination of modest valuation pressure in the property and casualty insurance sector, along with minor adjustments to growth and margin forecasts.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Oct 28
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Market Pressures Will Shape Opportunity Landscape Amid Ongoing Sector Transition

Analysts have lowered their price target for Kinsale Capital Group by approximately $9, citing recent pressures across the sector that have affected valuations, as well as slightly weaker growth forecasts in revenue and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Kinsale Capital Group reflect both optimism about the company's long-term earnings prospects and caution regarding near-term sector dynamics and growth headwinds.

Getting In Cheap On Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Is Unlikely

Aug 24
Getting In Cheap On Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) Is Unlikely

Here's Why We Think Kinsale Capital Group (NYSE:KNSL) Is Well Worth Watching

Jun 27
Here's Why We Think Kinsale Capital Group (NYSE:KNSL) Is Well Worth Watching

Why We Think The CEO Of Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) May Soon See A Pay Rise

May 15
Why We Think The CEO Of Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) May Soon See A Pay Rise

Kinsale: Growth Prospects And Stock Underpricing To Drive Its Upside Potential

Mar 04

Kinsale Q4 Earnings Preview: A Risky Long-Term Growth Play

Feb 07

Kinsale Capital: A Policy Of Continued Growth

Dec 01

Kinsale Capital: Strong Results, Approaching Fair Valuation

Nov 07

Kinsale Capital's Winning Formula: Technology And Underwriting Excellence

Sep 17
User avatar

A Strategic Leap Forward In The E&S Market

Kinsale Capital Group's strategic focus on small accounts in the E&S market and technological cost management hints at strong potential for revenue growth and margin improvement.

Kinsale Capital: An Excess And Surplus Insurer For Excess And Surplus Profits

Jul 01

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:KNSL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,1235161,1441,1212
12/31/20272,0214921,0391,0488
12/31/20261,9094719881,0078
3/31/20261,9175271,0141,063N/A
12/31/20251,8745049901,044N/A
9/30/20251,8034749611,015N/A
6/30/20251,723447940986N/A
3/31/20251,638405963996N/A
12/31/20241,588415952976N/A
9/30/20241,527409961975N/A
6/30/20241,423371916926N/A
3/31/20241,334351865873N/A
12/31/20231,224308853860N/A
9/30/20231,121272742749N/A
6/30/20231,029229694703N/A
3/31/2023917183625633N/A
12/31/2022839159551558N/A
9/30/2022774140556562N/A
6/30/2022717144486491N/A
3/31/2022686152432438N/A
12/31/2021653153401407N/A
9/30/2021596143367375N/A
6/30/2021553121327342N/A
3/31/2021518115287312N/A
12/31/202046088247280N/A
9/30/202041368229266N/A
6/30/202036966206240N/A
3/31/202032450179204N/A
12/31/201931663N/A178N/A
9/30/201928050N/A145N/A
6/30/201926249N/A125N/A
3/31/201924445N/A116N/A
12/31/201822234N/A104N/A
9/30/201821635N/A91N/A
6/30/201820428N/A87N/A
3/31/201819426N/A83N/A
12/31/201718725N/A77N/A
9/30/201717640N/A82N/A
6/30/201716341N/A78N/A
3/31/201715227N/A73N/A
12/31/201614226N/A74N/A
9/30/201612610N/A77N/A
6/30/201611111N/A81N/A
3/31/20169622N/A80N/A
12/31/20158122N/A79N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: KNSL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.9% per year).

Earnings vs Market: KNSL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: KNSL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: KNSL's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11% per year).

High Growth Revenue: KNSL's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: KNSL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 17:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Joseph TumilloBofA Global Research
Ryan TunisCantor Fitzgerald & Co.