HCI Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

HCI Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.5% and 12.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to decline by 6.7% per annum.

Key information

12.5%

Earnings growth rate

-6.7%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	9.0%
Revenue growth rate	12.4%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	17 May 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HCI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025	794	139	N/A	N/A	4
12/31/2024	776	144	N/A	N/A	4
3/31/2024	628	108	306	314	N/A
12/31/2023	551	76	222	231	N/A
9/30/2023	505	41	88	96	N/A
6/30/2023	500	-20	-21	-16	N/A
3/31/2023	498	-41	36	42	N/A
12/31/2022	496	-55	-10	0	N/A
9/30/2022	492	-56	20	30	N/A
6/30/2022	465	-14	12	22	N/A
3/31/2022	440	-3	109	118	N/A
12/31/2021	408	2	93	97	N/A
9/30/2021	366	4	45	48	N/A
6/30/2021	334	25	61	63	N/A
3/31/2021	313	32	51	58	N/A
12/31/2020	273	26	71	77	N/A
9/30/2020	266	30	87	93	N/A
6/30/2020	259	21	128	135	N/A
3/31/2020	237	19	96	99	N/A
12/31/2019	242	25	51	54	N/A
9/30/2019	232	11	35	37	N/A
6/30/2019	234	14	27	30	N/A
3/31/2019	234	15	51	54	N/A
12/31/2018	231	18	26	29	N/A
9/30/2018	240	37	-9	-5	N/A
6/30/2018	226	-9	10	13	N/A
3/31/2018	234	-8	-25	-22	N/A
12/31/2017	244	-6	N/A	17	N/A
9/30/2017	255	-14	N/A	48	N/A
6/30/2017	275	35	N/A	49	N/A
3/31/2017	269	33	N/A	85	N/A
12/31/2016	262	27	N/A	88	N/A
9/30/2016	253	34	N/A	31	N/A
6/30/2016	247	30	N/A	38	N/A
3/31/2016	264	44	N/A	14	N/A
12/31/2015	286	62	N/A	45	N/A
9/30/2015	287	65	N/A	131	N/A
6/30/2015	293	71	N/A	107	N/A
3/31/2015	280	66	N/A	113	N/A
12/31/2014	266	58	N/A	89	N/A
9/30/2014	267	59	N/A	73	N/A
6/30/2014	254	59	N/A	73	N/A
3/31/2014	247	59	N/A	75	N/A
12/31/2013	241	62	N/A	55	N/A
9/30/2013	227	60	N/A	116	N/A
6/30/2013	204	51	N/A	125	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HCI's forecast earnings growth (12.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: HCI's earnings (12.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HCI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HCI's revenue (12.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HCI's revenue (12.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if HCI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

HCI Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 22%

Price target increased by 17% to US$120

Price target increased by 11% to US$91.33

Price target decreased to US$75.00

Price target decreased to US$97.50

Price target decreased to US$97.50

Recent updates

Revenues Tell The Story For HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE:HCI)

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.40 announced

HCI Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 21, 2024

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 08, 2024

Chief Financial Officer recently sold US$2.3m worth of stock

Board Member notifies of intention to sell stock

HCI Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2024

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 22%

Price target increased by 17% to US$120

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.40 per share at 1.8% yield

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Mar 07, 2024

Third quarter dividend of US$0.40 announced

HCI Group Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on March 15, 2024

HCI Group, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $75 million.

HCI Group, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $78 million.

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

HCI Group, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $78 million.

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22%

Price target increased by 11% to US$91.33

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.53 (vs US$5.66 loss in 3Q 2022)

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.40

HCI Group: Impressive Margin Improvements, But Unimpressive Price Point

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.40 per share at 2.6% yield

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.40

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 08, 2023

HCI Group, Inc.(NYSE:HCI) dropped from Russell 2000 Defensive Index

Chief Financial Officer recently sold US$842k worth of stock

Chief Financial Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.40 per share at 2.7% yield

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Full year 2022 earnings released: US$6.24 loss per share (vs US$0.23 profit in FY 2021)

HCI Group's (NYSE:HCI) Dividend Will Be $0.40

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Mar 09, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.40 per share at 3.3% yield

HCI Group Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on March 17, 2023

Price target decreased to US$75.00

HCI Group declares $0.40 dividend

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.40

High number of new directors

Upcoming dividend of US$0.40 per share

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: US$5.66 loss per share (vs US$0.72 loss in 3Q 2021)

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.40

HCI Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 16, 2022

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 08, 2022

HCI Group announces Q3 pre-tax net loss of $78M

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Founder recently bought US$51k worth of stock

Co-Founder & Lead Independent Director recently bought US$60k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.40 per share

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: US$1.04 loss per share (vs US$0.25 profit in 2Q 2021)

HCI Group Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.71, revenue of $125.93M

HCI Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on September 16, 2022

HCI Group declares $0.40 dividend

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 08, 2022

HCI Group, Inc.(NYSE:HCI) dropped from Russell Microcap Value Index

Upcoming dividend of US$0.40 per share

First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.09 (vs US$0.82 in 1Q 2021)

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Will Pay A Dividend Of US$0.40

Co-Founder & Lead Independent Director recently bought US$65k worth of stock

HCI Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 17, 2022

Price target decreased to US$97.50

High number of new directors

Co-Founder & Lead Independent Director recently bought US$137k worth of stock

HCI Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 04, 2022

HCI Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 02, 2022