Stock Analysis
- United States
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- Insurance
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- NYSE:GNW
Genworth Financial, Inc.'s (NYSE:GNW) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
When close to half the companies operating in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider Genworth Financial, Inc. (NYSE:GNW) as an attractive investment with its 0.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Genworth Financial
What Does Genworth Financial's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Genworth Financial's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Genworth Financial will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Genworth Financial's Revenue Growth Trending?
Genworth Financial's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.3%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 13% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.1% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Genworth Financial is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It's no surprise that Genworth Financial maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Genworth Financial that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Genworth Financial's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:GNW
Genworth Financial
Provides mortgage and long-term care insurance products in the United States and internationally.