This analysis is intended to introduce important early concepts to people who are starting to invest and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today's market.
Fidelity National Financial Inc (NYSE:FNF) trades with a trailing P/E of 14, which is lower than the industry average of 19.4. Although some investors might think this is a real positive, that might change once you understand the assumptions behind the P/E. Today, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it.
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Demystifying the P/E ratio
The P/E ratio is one of many ratios used in relative valuation. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.
Formula
Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share
P/E Calculation for FNF
Price per share = $38.9
Earnings per share = $2.779
∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = $38.9 ÷ $2.779 = 14x
On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to FNF, such as capital structure and profitability. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. Since similar companies should technically have similar P/E ratios, we can very quickly come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios differ.
FNF’s P/E of 14 is lower than its industry peers (19.4), which implies that each dollar of FNF’s earnings is being undervalued by investors. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 25 Insurance companies in US including Genworth Financial, Syncora Holdings and Reinsurance Group of America. One could put it like this: the market is pricing FNF as if it is a weaker company than the average company in its industry.
Assumptions to be aware of
Before you jump to conclusions it is important to realise that our assumptions rests on two important assertions. The first is that our peer group actually contains companies that are similar to FNF. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to some other factors. For example, if you accidentally compared higher growth firms with FNF, then FNF’s P/E would naturally be lower since investors would reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. Alternatively, if you inadvertently compared less risky firms with FNF, FNF’s P/E would again be lower since investors would reward its peers’ lower risk with a higher price as well. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing FNF to are fairly valued by the market. If this does not hold, there is a possibility that FNF’s P/E is lower because firms in our peer group are being overvalued by the market.
What this means for you:
Since you may have already conducted your due diligence on FNF, the undervaluation of the stock may mean it is a good time to top up on your current holdings. But at the end of the day, keep in mind that relative valuation relies heavily on critical assumptions I've outlined above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:
- Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for FNF’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for FNF’s outlook.
- Past Track Record: Has FNF been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of FNF's historicals for more clarity.
- Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.
Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.