American Financial Group, Inc.

NYSE:AFG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.1b

American Financial Group Management

Management criteria checks 4/4

American Financial Group's CEO is Stephen Lindner, appointed in Jan 2005, has a tenure of 21.58 years. total yearly compensation is $11.15M, comprised of 11.2% salary and 88.8% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 5.59% of the company’s shares, worth $674.73M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 12.5 years and 10.9 years respectively.

Key information

Stephen Lindner

Chief executive officer

US$11.1m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage11.21%
CEO tenure21.6yrs
CEO ownership5.6%
Management average tenure12.5yrs
Board average tenure10.9yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Aug 11

AFG: Fair Value View Will Highlight Ongoing Buybacks And Specialty P&C Strength

Analysts have raised their price target on American Financial Group from about $147 to roughly $152, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate assumptions, and a slightly revised outlook for revenue trends, margins, and future P/E. What’s in the News for American Financial Group American Financial Group reported that from April 1, 2026 to June 30, 2026, it repurchased 200,231 shares for US$26 million, representing 0.24% of the company.
Narrative Update Jul 13

AFG: Fair Value View Will Emphasize Specialty P&C Strength And Capital Returns

Analysts have raised their price target for American Financial Group from $142.83 to $147.17, reflecting updated views on fair value, slight adjustments to revenue expectations, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News for American Financial Group Recent coverage highlights American Financial Group as one of several insurance stocks with a buy rating, according to a story titled "Looking Beyond Tech?
Seeking Alpha Jul 07

American Financial Group: 15% Capital Appreciation Potential From Its Baby Bonds

Summary American Financial Group (AFG) reported Q1 2026 total assets of $32.35 billion and total debt of $2.03 billion. AFG's total equity stands at approximately $4.68 billion, with EBITDA near $1.32 billion for the quarter. The company’s current market capitalization is about $11.86 billion. AFG achieved a 5-year total return of 10% and a 10-year total return of 12.24%, underscoring consistent long-term performance. AFG's baby bonds have a yield to maturity of over 7.6% and a capital appreciation potential of nearly 15%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 12

AFG: Fair Value View Will Highlight Mixed Q1 Results And Earnings Tailwind

Analysts have maintained their $142.83 price target on American Financial Group, citing only modest adjustments to assumed revenue trends, profit margin outlook, and forward P/E as the reasons for keeping their valuation view unchanged. What's in the News Q1 2026 results showed revenue of US$1.85b, which met Wall Street expectations, while adjusted EPS of US$2.47 and net premiums earned came in below consensus estimates by 3.4% and 5.2%, respectively.
Narrative Update May 28

AFG: Fair Value Outlook Will Reflect Softer Margins And Richer P/E Multiple

Analysts have raised their price target for American Financial Group by $1 to about $143, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly softer revenue trends, a modestly lower profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E of roughly 13.6x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised up slightly from $141.83 to $142.83 per share, a change of about $1.00.
Narrative Update May 09

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Future Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for American Financial Group up by $1 to $141.83, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The estimate has risen slightly from $140.83 to $141.83.
Narrative Update Apr 18

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Steady Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their average price target for American Financial Group, from about $141.50 to roughly $140.83. This reflects updated views on fair value that incorporate modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 01

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Steady Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

Analysts have increased their price target on American Financial Group by $1 to $141.50, citing updated assumptions around fair value and forward P/E while keeping other key model inputs broadly unchanged. What's in the News The Board of Directors declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 16, 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 18

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Sustain Shareholder Returns At Stable Outlook

Analysts have kept their price target for American Financial Group steady at $140.50, citing unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. This indicates that their valuation view is currently stable.
Narrative Update Mar 04

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Shareholder Returns At Fair Valuation

Analysts have nudged their price target for American Financial Group up from $138.20 to $140.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin resilience near 13.34%, and a forward P/E of about 13.36x. What's in the News The Board of Directors declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 16, 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 17

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Continue To Drive Shareholder Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for American Financial Group by about $4 to around $138, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and future P/E that are now slightly more conservative. What's in the News The board declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 16, 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 02

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Shape Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for American Financial Group by about US$2.47 to roughly US$142, reflecting updated fair value estimates and slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News On December 3, 2025, American Financial Group expanded its equity buyback authorization by 5,000,000 shares to a total of 57,188,938 shares and extended the program through December 31, 2030 (company announcement).
Narrative Update Jan 19

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Shape Measured Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on American Financial Group to about $144.67 from roughly $140.60, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which slightly adjust their outlook on the shares. What's in the News On December 3, 2025, American Financial Group expanded its equity buyback authorization by 5,000,000 shares to a total of 57,188,938 shares and extended the program through December 31, 2030 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 05

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have modestly reaffirmed their outlook on American Financial Group, maintaining a target price of $140.60. They continue to see stable discount rates, largely unchanged revenue growth expectations, and steady profit margin and valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update Dec 19

AFG: Buybacks And Rising Dividends Will Support Returns Despite Margin Pressure

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on American Financial Group by approximately 1 dollar to reflect slightly improved revenue trajectory expectations, which are partially offset by a slimmer projected profit margin and a marginally higher future earnings multiple. What's in the News The board has approved an increase to American Financial Group's equity buyback authorization by 5,000,000 shares and extended the program through December 31, 2030.
Narrative Update Dec 05

AFG: Buybacks And Dividends Will Sustain Returns Amid Softer Revenue Outlook

Analysts trimmed their average price target for American Financial Group slightly to approximately $139.60, citing modestly softer revenue growth expectations, partly offset by marginally improved profit margin forecasts and a steady valuation multiple outlook. What's in the News American Financial Group updated its share repurchase activity, buying back 788,134 shares, or about 0.95% of shares outstanding, for $96.57 million in the third quarter of 2025.
Narrative Update Nov 21

AFG: Higher Buyback Activity And Dividend Boost Will Support Long-Term Value

Analysts have raised their price target for American Financial Group from $137.40 to $140.20, citing improved profit margin projections and a more optimistic outlook on future revenue trends. What's in the News The company repurchased 788,134 shares for $96.57 million between July and September 2025, completing a total buyback of nearly 47% of company shares since 2010 (company announcement).
Narrative Update Nov 05

AFG: Dividend Increases And Stable Outlook Will Drive Shareholder Returns

Analysts have maintained their price target for American Financial Group at $137.40, citing stable assumptions regarding the company's earnings outlook and growth prospects. What's in the News The Board of Directors declared a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share.
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analysts Raise American Financial Group Price Target as Dividends and Revenue Outlook Improve

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for American Financial Group from $135.00 to $137.40. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth as the primary rationale for this adjustment.
Narrative Update Oct 08

Digital Transformation And Demographic Shifts Will Expand Insurance Markets

Analysts have raised their price target for American Financial Group from $132.60 to $135.00. This reflects increased optimism tied to improved profit margin forecasts.
Analysis Article Oct 05

American Financial Group's (NYSE:AFG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

American Financial Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:AFG ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period...
Narrative Update Sep 03

Digital Transformation And Demographic Shifts Will Expand Insurance Markets

The upward revision in American Financial Group’s consensus price target reflects improved revenue growth forecasts, while other key profitability metrics remain essentially unchanged, resulting in a modest increase in fair value to $132.60. What's in the News Increased regular annual dividend by 10% to $3.52 per share, marking the twentieth consecutive year of dividend increases; ten-year compound annual dividend growth rate is 12.3%.
Seeking Alpha Mar 25

AFGC Debentures Still A Buy For Longer-Term Income Investors

Summary AFGC debentures offer an attractive yield of 6.52%, making them a solid choice for income investors with a medium-to-long-term perspective. Despite short-term concerns, AFG remains financially strong, supported by its excess capital and special dividends, making it a reliable investment. AFG's recent earnings show modest improvements, with total revenues and net income up year-over-year, despite short-term EPS declines. AFGC debentures are currently trading below face value, presenting a potential gain for long-term investors as they will eventually be redeemed at $25.00. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 30

American Financial Group: Q4 2024 Earnings Preview

Summary American Financial Group is a mid-sized P&C insurer with strong underwriting performance and a focus on specialty lines, leading to consistent profitability. AFG's Q4 2024 earnings are expected to recover, with a combined ratio of around 88.7% and net income rising to $263 million. The company has a solid financial position, with excess capital and a flexible capital return policy, though its income appeal is less predictable. AFG's premium valuation limits short-term upside potential, making W. R. Berkley Corporation a potentially better value for long-term investors in the P&C sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 23

American Financial Group: A Financially Stable Property Insurer And Dividend Grower

Summary Prior buy rating gets reiterated, after more in-depth analysis shows a financially stable property/casualty insurer with solid credit ratings. The dividend case can be made with a proven 5-year dividend CAGR, positive cashflow, and steady profitability along with a good profit margin. Catastrophe losses from weather/fire events are always a risk that has a business impact on this sector. Among P&C insurers in the US, AFG was ranked just below the top 20 in 2023, as bigger brands like State Farm and Allstate dominate this space. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Aug 23

Alternative Investments And Calculated Underwriting Propel Insurance Giant To New Heights

Strategic underwriting and capital management efforts are poised to enhance underwriting margins, shareholder value, and EPS.
Seeking Alpha Aug 07

American Financial Group: Solid Underwriting In Q2 With Potential Benefits From Rental Inflation

Summary American Financial Group's Q2 results beat estimates with improved underwriting margins driving gains, partially offset by lower alternative investment income. Premium growth lagged inflation due to reduced policies, but underwriting profits were solid across segments and crop growth should accelerate in Q3. Higher interest rates benefited AFG's investment income, and the apartment market may be bottoming, supporting future earnings growth. At 11x forward earnings, AFG is attractive given its strong insurance franchise and potential gains in alternative investments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jun 05

American Financial: Debentures Better Than Dividends For Income Investors

Summary American Financial's C-series baby bond now offers investors a return of more than 6.0%. Or, investors could buy AFG common stock for regular dividends, potential special dividends, share buybacks, and capital gains. However, for income investors, the AFGC baby bond offers a less volatile share price and low risk thanks to the parent company's profitable growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 09

American Financial Group: Attractive Due To Solid Underwriting And Multifamily Upside

Summary American Financial Group has seen moderate performance, rising 16% in the past year and paying out special dividends. AFG's Q1 results showed improved underwriting and strong premium growth driven by pricing increases. The company's specialty P&C combined ratio was strong, and its underwriting profits remained flat from last year's Q1. While multifamily reduced investment returns in Q1 and will weigh in 2024, long-term fundamentals are positive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Stephen Lindner's remuneration changed compared to American Financial Group's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Jun 30 2026n/an/a

US$953m

Mar 31 2026n/an/a

US$879m

Dec 31 2025US$11mUS$1m

US$842m

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

US$798m

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

US$764m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$799m

Dec 31 2024US$12mUS$1m

US$887m

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

US$895m

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

US$891m

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

US$882m

Dec 31 2023US$10mUS$1m

US$852m

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

US$865m

Jun 30 2023n/an/a

US$853m

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

US$820m

Dec 31 2022US$13mUS$1m

US$898m

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

US$977m

Jun 30 2022n/an/a

US$1b

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

US$1b

Dec 31 2021US$12mUS$1m

US$1b

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

US$991m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

US$860m

Mar 31 2021n/an/a

US$733m

Dec 31 2020US$10mUS$1m

US$325m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

US$271m

Jun 30 2020n/an/a

US$330m

Mar 31 2020n/an/a

US$427m

Dec 31 2019US$10mUS$1m

US$519m

Compensation vs Market: Stephen's total compensation ($USD11.15M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD14.39M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Stephen's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


CEO

Stephen Lindner (71 yo)

21.6yrs
Tenure
US$11,148,296
Compensation

Mr. Stephen Craig Lindner has been Co-Chief Executive Officer and Director of American Financial Group, Inc. since January 2005 and 1985 respectively. He was Co-President of American Financial Group, Inc....


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Stephen Lindner
Co-CEO & Director21.6yrsUS$11.15m5.59%
$ 674.7m
Carl Lindner
Co-CEO & Director21.6yrsUS$11.04m0.61%
$ 74.2m
John Berding
President & Director3.2yrsUS$6.99m0.17%
$ 20.2m
Brian Hertzman
Senior VP & CFO6.2yrsUS$1.53m0.022%
$ 2.6m
Mark Weiss
Senior VP6.6yrsUS$1.51m0.022%
$ 2.7m
David Thompson
President & COO of Property and Casualty Insurance Group and Directorno dataUS$2.66m1.86%
$ 225.3m
John Rogers
Chief Information Security Officer & VP10.7yrsno datano data
Michelle Gillis
Senior VP14.4yrsUS$1.19m0.070%
$ 8.4m
Diane Weidner
Vice President of Investor & Media Relations17.1yrsno datano data
Christopher Miliano
Executive VP & CFO of Annuity Operationsno datano datano data
Michael Prager
Executive VP & Chief Actuary of Annuity Operationsno datano datano data
Gary Gruber
Executive Officerno datano datano data
12.5yrs
Average Tenure
65yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: AFG's management team is seasoned and experienced (12.5 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Stephen Lindner
Co-CEO & Director41.6yrsUS$11.15m5.59%
$ 674.7m
Carl Lindner
Co-CEO & Director35.6yrsUS$11.04m0.61%
$ 74.2m
John Berding
President & Director14.3yrsUS$6.99m0.17%
$ 20.2m
David Thompson
President & COO of Property and Casualty Insurance Group and Director1.5yrsUS$2.66m1.86%
$ 225.3m
John Von Lehman
Independent Director18yrsUS$327.50k0.017%
$ 2.0m
William Verity
Independent Director24.6yrsUS$328.00k0.017%
$ 2.1m
Gregory Joseph
Independent Lead Director18.3yrsUS$368.50k0.25%
$ 30.6m
Roger Newport
Independent Director2.5yrsUS$335.50k0.0060%
$ 722.4k
Mary Martin
Independent Director7.5yrsUS$328.00k0.014%
$ 1.7m
Evans Nwankwo
Independent Director5.7yrsUS$323.00k0.0092%
$ 1.1m
Amy Murray
Independent Director4.8yrsUS$335.50k0.0062%
$ 750.2k
Craig Lindner
Director1.5yrsno data2.23%
$ 270.0m
10.9yrs
Average Tenure
63.5yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: AFG's board of directors are seasoned and experienced ( 10.9 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/14 22:08
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/14 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

American Financial Group, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jay CohenBofA Global Research