American Financial Group, Inc.

NYSE:AFG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.6b

American Financial Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

American Financial Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 1.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 8.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 8.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 20% in 3 years.

Key information

8.7%

Earnings growth rate

8.95%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth12.6%
Revenue growth rate-1.5%
Future return on equity20.00%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated12 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

American Financial Group: Poised For Special Dividends Despite A Q1 Miss

May 08

American Financial Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:AFG) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Mar 26
American Financial Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:AFG) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

AFGC Debentures Still A Buy For Longer-Term Income Investors

Mar 25

American Financial Group: Q4 2024 Earnings Preview

Jan 30

American Financial Group: A Financially Stable Property Insurer And Dividend Grower

Jan 23

American Financial Group's (NYSE:AFG) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.80

Oct 04
American Financial Group's (NYSE:AFG) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.80

Insufficient Growth At American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) Hampers Share Price

Sep 02
Insufficient Growth At American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) Hampers Share Price
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Alternative Investments And Calculated Underwriting Propel Insurance Giant To New Heights

Strategic underwriting and capital management efforts are poised to enhance underwriting margins, shareholder value, and EPS.

American Financial Group: Solid Underwriting In Q2 With Potential Benefits From Rental Inflation

Aug 07

American Financial: Debentures Better Than Dividends For Income Investors

Jun 05

Little Excitement Around American Financial Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:AFG) Earnings

May 30
Little Excitement Around American Financial Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:AFG) Earnings

American Financial Group: Attractive Due To Solid Underwriting And Multifamily Upside

May 09

American Financial Group: An Underwriting Stumble Has Created Opportunity

Nov 09

Insurer American Financial Group Is A Buy Opportunity Despite Elevated Valuation

Sep 08

American Financial Group: Q2, Bullish On Revenue And Bearish On Underwriting

Aug 22

Buy American Financial Group While On Sale

Jun 07

American Financial Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Jan 31

American Financial declares $0.63 dividend

Jan 03

American Financial Group: Superior Business Fundamentals May Be Reflected In The Price

Dec 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AFG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20277,5681,000N/AN/A2
12/31/20267,574978N/AN/A5
12/31/20257,056887N/AN/A4
3/31/20257,9847991,3871,387N/A
12/31/20248,0108871,1521,152N/A
9/30/20247,9168951,2341,234N/A
6/30/20247,6968911,4711,471N/A
3/31/20247,6218821,6741,674N/A
12/31/20237,4528521,9701,970N/A
9/30/20237,3118651,3241,324N/A
6/30/20237,1638531,1571,157N/A
3/31/20236,9068201,0531,053N/A
12/31/20226,8108981,1531,153N/A
9/30/20226,6819771,3321,332N/A
6/30/20226,4761,0311,2581,258N/A
3/31/20226,4721,1041,5901,590N/A
12/31/20216,3931,0811,7141,714N/A
9/30/20216,2979911,9121,912N/A
6/30/20216,1328602,0662,066N/A
3/31/20216,0477332,2782,278N/A
12/31/20205,5793252,1832,183N/A
9/30/20206,0352712,4612,461N/A
6/30/20206,5523302,6662,666N/A
3/31/20207,0504272,5342,534N/A
12/31/20195,9745192,4562,456N/A
9/30/20197,5726572,4972,497N/A
6/30/20197,4597142,1372,137N/A
3/31/20197,3377142,1462,146N/A
12/31/20186,939530N/A2,083N/A
9/30/20187,070725N/A2,088N/A
6/30/20186,904532N/A2,053N/A
3/31/20186,720467N/A2,271N/A
12/31/20176,684475N/A1,804N/A
9/30/20176,615694N/A1,397N/A
6/30/20176,492792N/A1,228N/A
3/31/20176,440701N/A666N/A
12/31/20166,345649N/A1,150N/A
9/30/20166,240393N/A1,192N/A
6/30/20166,227347N/A1,273N/A
3/31/20166,199434N/A1,364N/A
12/31/20156,194352N/A1,353N/A
9/30/20156,131350N/A1,455N/A
6/30/20156,039403N/A1,299N/A
3/31/20155,895368N/A1,415N/A
12/31/20145,651452N/A1,231N/A
9/30/20145,469483N/A1,046N/A
6/30/20145,328450N/A1,063N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AFG's forecast earnings growth (8.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: AFG's earnings (8.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AFG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AFG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AFG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (20%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/20 04:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/20 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

American Financial Group, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
null nullBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jay CohenBofA Global Research