Stock Analysis

Global Indemnity Group (NASDAQ:GBLI) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of US$0.25

NYSE:GBLI
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Global Indemnity Group, LLC (NASDAQ:GBLI) has announced that it will pay a dividend of US$0.25 per share on the 31st of December. This makes the dividend yield 3.8%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

See our latest analysis for Global Indemnity Group

Global Indemnity Group Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Global Indemnity Group's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

EPS is set to fall by 30.8% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 488%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:GBLI Historic Dividend December 9th 2021

Global Indemnity Group Is Still Building Its Track Record

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. The payments haven't really changed that much since 4 years ago. Modest dividend growth is good to see, especially with the payments being relatively stable. However, the payment history is relatively short and we wouldn't want to rely on this dividend too much.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Over the past five years, it looks as though Global Indemnity Group's EPS has declined at around 31% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.

Global Indemnity Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Global Indemnity Group's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Global Indemnity Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.