Stock Analysis

The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

NYSE:PG
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The Procter & Gamble Company's (NYSE:PG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Procter & Gamble as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Procter & Gamble

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 9th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Procter & Gamble's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Procter & Gamble?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Procter & Gamble's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.5%. The latest three year period has also seen a 12% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.6% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Procter & Gamble is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Procter & Gamble's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Procter & Gamble's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Procter & Gamble that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Procter & Gamble. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.