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Be Wary Of Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB) And Its Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Looking at Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB), it does have a high ROCE right now, but lets see how returns are trending.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Kimberly-Clark is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.29 = US$3.0b ÷ (US$17b - US$6.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Thus, Kimberly-Clark has an ROCE of 29%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Household Products industry average of 19%.
Check out our latest analysis for Kimberly-Clark
In the above chart we have measured Kimberly-Clark's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Kimberly-Clark .
So How Is Kimberly-Clark's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Kimberly-Clark's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. While it's comforting that the ROCE is high, five years ago it was 39%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
Another thing to note, Kimberly-Clark has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 40%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, Kimberly-Clark is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And with the stock having returned a mere 20% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Kimberly-Clark, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.
High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kimberly-Clark might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:KMB
Kimberly-Clark
Manufactures and markets personal care and consumer tissue products in the United States.
Established dividend payer and good value.