Stock Analysis

We Think WD-40 (NASDAQ:WDFC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NasdaqGS:WDFC
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, WD-40 Company (NASDAQ:WDFC) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that WDFC is potentially overvalued!

What Is WD-40's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of August 2022, WD-40 had US$146.3m of debt, up from US$115.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$37.8m in cash leading to net debt of about US$108.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:WDFC Debt to Equity History December 10th 2022

A Look At WD-40's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that WD-40 had liabilities of US$110.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$134.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$37.8m as well as receivables valued at US$89.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$117.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, WD-40 has a market capitalization of US$2.26b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

WD-40's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 33.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. While WD-40 doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine WD-40's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, WD-40 recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

WD-40's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. All these things considered, it appears that WD-40 can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example WD-40 has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if WD-40 might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.